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Politics

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ME-02 House winner?Paul LePagePoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202760%—Kalshi60¢$406
AZ-01 House winner?Amish ShahPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202773%—Kalshi73¢$405
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by...?December 31PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202656%—Polymarket56¢$397
Will any GOP member of Congress call for the 25th Amendment on Trump?Before Jan 1, 2027PoliticsEnds Aug 31, 20267%—Kalshi9¢$396
Will Trump order mandatory pre-release federal review of AI models?Before Jan 1, 2027PoliticsEnds Aug 31, 202622%—Kalshi25¢$394
FL-03 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat WinsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202619%—Polymarket34.5¢$394
How many states will Trump visit in Oct 2026?At least 8PoliticsEnds Nov 1, 202688%—Kalshi90¢$393
MN-01 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 3-6%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202621%—Polymarket21¢$391
US x Russia military clash by...?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20264%—Polymarket4.8¢$390
PA-07 House Election WinnerBob Brooks (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202678%—Polymarket79¢$387
Texas Senate: Exact outcomeTalarico defeats PaxtonPoliticsEnds Jan 3, 202852%—Kalshi53¢$387
NE-01 House winner?Mike FloodPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202785%—Kalshi87¢$386
Deportations in 2026?Above 450,000PoliticsEnds Jan 1, 202730%—Kalshi36¢$385
FL-20 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 30-35%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202616%—Polymarket19¢$383
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?September 15PoliticsEnds Sep 15, 20263%—Polymarket3¢$382
Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Elif EralpPoliticsEnds Oct 1, 202756%—Kalshi57¢$381
Arequipa Mayoral Election WinnerManuel Enrique Vera ParedesPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202653%—Polymarket55¢$381
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?DemocraticPoliticsEnds Nov 6, 202865%—Polymarket65¢$371
Next French presidential election winner?Marine Le PenPoliticsEnds May 30, 202840%—Kalshi40¢$366
Kansas Senate and Governor ComboReps sweepPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202656%—Polymarket57¢$365
Will a Democratic Senator call for Schumer to step down as leader?Before Nov 3, 2026PoliticsEnds Aug 31, 202611%—Kalshi11¢$358
Israel military action against Syria by...?PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202627%—Polymarket33¢$356
OK-01 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 10-15%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202631%—Polymarket32¢$355
Arizona Governor winner?Katie HobbsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202788%—Kalshi88¢$354
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Gregory BovinoPoliticsEnds Jan 1, 202830%—Kalshi31¢$351
Will Donald Trump visit Iran?Before Jan 1, 2027PoliticsEnds Aug 1, 20263%—Kalshi3.6¢$350
Georgia Governor Election WinnerKeisha Lance Bottoms (D)Politics56%—Polymarket57¢$349
Acre Senate Election: 2nd PlaceMara RochaPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202652%—Polymarket70¢$348
NJ-12 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 30-35%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202626%—Polymarket27¢$348
Argentina Presidential Election WinnerJavier MileiPoliticsEnds Oct 23, 202753%—Polymarket53¢$342
NJ-06 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 30-35%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202630%—Polymarket30¢$341
Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202633%—Kalshi36¢$340
Georgia Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)4.2M-4.4MPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202642%—Polymarket42¢$339
NH-02 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 10-15%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202626%—Polymarket27¢$337
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by...?September 30PoliticsEnds Sep 15, 202630%—Polymarket31¢$337
Who will visit the White House in 2026?Xi JinpingPoliticsEnds Jul 21, 202689%—Kalshi90.8¢$336
MO-01 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 60-65%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202640%—Polymarket42¢$335
Surrey Mayoral ElectionBrenda LockePoliticsEnds Oct 17, 202672%—Polymarket78¢$335
Harvard federal sponsored revenue in FY2026?Above 700 millionPoliticsEnds Oct 15, 202684%—Kalshi86¢$335
CT-03 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 30-35%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202642%—Polymarket46¢$332
Illinois Governor Election WinnerJB Pritzker (D)Politics99%—Polymarket99.6¢$332
Which party will win the Arizona State Senate in 2026?Democratic PartyPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202654%—Polymarket55¢$331
When will AI biosecurity safeguards become U.S. law?Before Jan 1, 2027PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202625%—Kalshi36¢$330
When will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court?Before Jul 1, 2027PoliticsEnds Aug 31, 202628%—Kalshi31¢$330
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?December 31PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20267%—Polymarket7¢$326
Will Donald Trump attend UFC 332?PoliticsEnds Oct 4, 20266%—Kalshi7¢$326
MI-10 House winner?Christina HinesPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202765%—Kalshi65¢$325
OH-13 House winner?Emilia SykesPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202793%—Kalshi95¢$325
Texas Senate: which counties will James Talarico win?CollinPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202754%—Kalshi94¢$325
Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202631%—Kalshi33¢$325
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