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Politics

6,662 events

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Rhode Island Senate Election: Turnout350K-400KPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202651%—Polymarket55.1¢$277
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202612%—Polymarket12¢$275
NY-17 House Election WinnerCait Conley (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202665%—Polymarket66¢$273
Minnesota Attorney General winner?Keith EllisonPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202768%—Kalshi71¢$272
Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races?PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202757%—Kalshi58¢$272
Who will attend a White House Press Briefing in 2026?Robert F. Kennedy Jr.PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202642%—Kalshi43¢$271
MI-01 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 15-20%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202632%—Polymarket33¢$271
Will Iran target Iraq by...?September 30PoliticsEnds Sep 15, 202639%—Polymarket62¢$271
Will Wildberries announce a bankruptcy before 2027?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20269%—Polymarket10¢$270
Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats?PoliticsEnds Sep 12, 20261%—Polymarket0.9¢$269
Michigan Governor election: Jocelyn Benson vote percentAt least 48%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202795%—Kalshi98¢$269
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?5PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202659%—Polymarket60¢$269
Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to V or MP?PoliticsEnds Sep 12, 2026>99%—Polymarket99.9¢$265
WI-06 House Election WinnerGlenn Grothman (R)PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202694%—Polymarket95¢$262
OH-11 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 55-60%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202631%—Polymarket34¢$262
LA-05 Republican nominee?Misti CordellPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 20274%—Kalshi6¢$262
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by...?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202654%—Polymarket54¢$257
How long will Trump and Xi shake hands?10–15sPoliticsEnds Oct 7, 202648%—Polymarket66¢$256
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in TocantinsFlavio BolsonaroPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202651%—Polymarket64¢$254
When will Big Bend border construction resume?Before Oct 1, 2026PoliticsEnds Sep 7, 20267%—Kalshi10¢$254
South Dakota Governor winner?Larry RhodenPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202798%—Kalshi99.5¢$253
São Paulo Governor Election WinnerTarcísio de FreitasPoliticsEnds Oct 3, 202698%—Polymarket98.4¢$251
NY-22 House Election WinnerJohn Mannion (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202694%—Polymarket94¢$250
Santa Catarina Senate Election: 1st PlaceCarol de ToniPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202651%—Polymarket59¢$250
SC-01 House winner?Jenny Costa HoneycuttPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202771%—Kalshi72¢$245
Maryland Governor winner?Wes MoorePoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202796%—Kalshi96.3¢$245
New Hampshire Senate margin of victoryPappas, 2+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202778%—Kalshi78¢$244
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Green Vote Share?25-30%PoliticsEnds Oct 8, 202628%—Polymarket33¢$244
AZ-05 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 10-15%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202635%—Polymarket35¢$244
Will Trump be allowed to run for a 3rd term?PoliticsEnds Jan 1, 20297%—Kalshi7.5¢$244
Kansas Governor Election WinnerTy Masterson (R)Politics68%—Polymarket69¢$244
TX-27 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 10-15%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202631%—Polymarket37¢$244
Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela?Before Oct 1, 2026PoliticsEnds Aug 1, 20269%—Kalshi11¢$243
Ohio Governor-Senate comboAmy Acton and Sherrod Brown winPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202745%—Kalshi45¢$243
NY-01 House Election WinnerNick LaLota (R)PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202675%—Polymarket76¢$242
Alagoas Senate Election: 1st PlaceArthur LiraPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202641%—Polymarket44¢$242
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?PoliticsEnds Dec 30, 202617%—Polymarket18¢$242
NY-10 House election: Nickie Kane vote percentAt least 6%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 20278%—Kalshi12¢$242
FL-01 House winner?Jimmy PatronisPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202795%—Kalshi98.7¢$239
MI-03 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 15-20%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202623%—Polymarket23¢$239
MT-01 House Election WinnerAaron Flint (R)PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202664%—Polymarket64¢$237
Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20264%—Polymarket4.6¢$236
When will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal?Before Oct 1, 2026PoliticsEnds Aug 23, 20268%—Kalshi9¢$234
NH-02 House winner?Maggie GoodlanderPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202795%—Kalshi97.3¢$233
MS-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)Republican 30-35%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202634%—Polymarket35¢$233
Berlin State Election: Linke Vote Share?20-23%PoliticsEnds Sep 20, 202643%—Polymarket43¢$232
Xi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by...?December 31PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202689%—Polymarket89.2¢$232
Lima Mayor winner?Rafael López AliagaPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202776%—Kalshi76¢$230
Socialist Party of France Presidential NomineeRaphael GlucksmannPoliticsEnds Oct 31, 202671%—Polymarket72¢$228
Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20267%—Polymarket7¢$226
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