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Politics

6,644 events across Kalshi and Polymarket, most traded first.

KalshiPolymarketOn both venues
MarketChance24hBest priceVol 24hSpread
Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh?Before Jan 1, 2028PoliticsEnds Sep 1, 202619%—Kalshi23¢$598¢Thin
Wyoming Governor Election WinnerEric Barlow (R)Politics95%—Polymarket94.6¢$590.1¢Thin
Israel Election: Shas vote share?<6%PoliticsEnds Nov 30, 202634%—Polymarket40¢$5913¢Thin
Glenorchy Mayoral Election WinnerRussell YaxleyPoliticsEnds Oct 27, 202638%—Polymarket40¢$594¢Thin
NC-01 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 9-12%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202626%—Polymarket29¢$597¢Thin
Vaimauga 3 By-Election WinnerSooialo Lemigaoitamalii SooialoPoliticsEnds Sep 18, 202674%—Polymarket88.2¢$5928¢Thin
AZ-04 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 20-25%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202626%—Polymarket26¢$591¢Thin
Next Regional Board Chair of Västernorrland?Sara NylundPoliticsEnds Sep 13, 202649%—Polymarket57¢$5816¢Thin
MI-08 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 15-20%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202619%—Polymarket20¢$582¢Thin
New Hampshire Governor Election WinnerKelly Ayotte (R)Politics91%—Polymarket91¢$581¢Thin
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Labor?Keith SonderlingPoliticsEnds Jan 20, 202995%—Kalshi98¢$586¢Thin
Connecticut's 3rd District margin of victoryDeLauro, 35+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 20279%—Kalshi13¢$588¢Thin
Hawaii's 1st District margin of victoryCase, 54+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202713%—Kalshi17¢$587¢Thin
Ontario Liberal Party leadership election winner?Lee FaircloughPoliticsEnds Nov 21, 202755%—Kalshi93¢$5877¢Thin
TX-32 House winner?Jace YarbroughPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202785%—Kalshi87¢$585¢Thin
Kash Patel departure announced?Before Dec 1, 2026PoliticsEnds Jul 31, 202616%—Kalshi17¢$583¢Thin
FL-05 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 5-10%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202622%—Polymarket22¢$581¢Thin
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Trump's term?PoliticsEnds Jan 20, 202938%—Kalshi38¢$571¢
Kelowna Mayoral ElectionRon CannanPoliticsEnds Oct 17, 202658%—Polymarket60¢$574¢Thin
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by...?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20266%—Polymarket6.3¢$570.1¢Thin
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202613%—Polymarket13¢$571¢Thin
Swedish general election: Swedish Social Democratic Party vote percentAt least 27%PoliticsEnds Sep 13, 202796%——$57—Thin
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?December 31PoliticsEnds Oct 31, 202645%—Polymarket46¢$572¢Thin
Will Mamdani endorse outside of New York?Before Nov 3, 2026PoliticsEnds Sep 15, 202632%—Kalshi36¢$568¢Thin
FL-24 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 35-40%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202624%—Polymarket24¢$561¢Thin
NC-11 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 0-3%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202622%—Polymarket23¢$563¢Thin
PA-08 House Election WinnerPaige Cognetti (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202664%—Polymarket64¢$561¢Thin
US military action against Cuba by...?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202614%—Polymarket14¢$561¢Thin
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?PoliticsEnds Sep 20, 202695%—Polymarket99¢$559¢Thin
Minnesota Governor Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 15-20%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202618%—Polymarket18¢$551¢Thin
Will Mamdani tax incomes over $1M before 2027?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20266%—Kalshi8.5¢$556¢Thin
Will a Democratic Senator call for Schumer to step down as leader?Before Nov 3, 2026PoliticsEnds Aug 31, 202610%—Kalshi11¢$552¢Thin
NY-18 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 20-25%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202623%—Polymarket25¢$555¢Thin
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in AlagoasLulaPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202698%—Polymarket98¢$551¢Thin
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Florida?6PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202615%—Polymarket17¢$554¢Thin
MN-05 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 50-55%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202618%—Polymarket18¢$551¢Thin
WI-04 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 55-60%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202618%—Polymarket19.9¢$553¢Thin
Maranhão Senate Election: 2nd PlaceWeverton RochaPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202634%—Polymarket35¢$552¢Thin
2026: Trump's bad year?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20278%—Kalshi11¢$556¢Thin
Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or AfD?PoliticsEnds Sep 20, 202666%—Polymarket81¢$5531¢Thin
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by...?December 31PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202637%—Polymarket37¢$541¢Thin
São Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election WinnerMLSTPPoliticsEnds Sep 26, 202692%—Polymarket92¢$541¢Thin
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20267%—Kalshi9.9¢$545¢Thin
Mato Grosso do Sul Senate Election: 1st PlaceReinaldo AzambujaPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202688%—Polymarket88¢$531¢Thin
NY-10 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 70-75%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202625%—Polymarket25¢$531¢Thin
NC-10 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 15-20%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202618%—Polymarket25¢$5314¢Thin
Vermont Governor Election: Turnout275K-300KPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202638%—Polymarket38¢$531¢Thin
Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?October 31PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20269%—Polymarket10¢$532¢Thin
Will Trump make IVF free?PoliticsEnds Jan 19, 202916%—Kalshi17¢$533¢Thin
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?PoliticsEnds Oct 26, 202638%—Polymarket40¢$535¢Thin
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