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Politics

6,650 events across Kalshi and Polymarket, most traded first.

KalshiPolymarketOn both venues
MarketChance24hBest priceVol 24hSpread
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20265%—Polymarket5¢$51¢Thin
Illinois Senate Election WinnerJuliana Stratton (D)Politics96%—Polymarket97.1¢$52¢Thin
How many House seats will the Democrats win in New Jersey?10PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202667%—Polymarket67¢$51¢Thin
Brazil presidential election: 4th place (1st round)Renan SantosPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202743%—Kalshi44¢$52¢Thin
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in PernambucoLulaPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202697%—Polymarket98.5¢$52¢Thin
NY-08 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 30-40%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202617%—Polymarket17¢$51¢Thin
Quebec general election: PLQ number of seats?28 or morePoliticsEnds Oct 5, 202774%—Kalshi76¢$55¢Thin
Which member of Congress will have the biggest returns in 2025?Roger WilliamsPoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202647%—Kalshi84¢$575¢Thin
Which Senators will vote for Heidi Overton?Bill CassidyPoliticsEnds Jan 1, 202818%—Kalshi18¢$51¢Thin
NY-09 House election: Yvette Clarke vote percentAt least 74%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202776%—Kalshi81¢$510¢Thin
Florida's 23rd District margin of victoryFrankel, 20+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202784%—Kalshi94.8¢$522¢Thin
Tver Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerUnited RussiaPoliticsEnds Sep 20, 202692%—Polymarket96.7¢$59¢Thin
US Trade Deficit in 2026?800–900BPoliticsEnds Feb 27, 202737%—Polymarket50¢$526¢Thin
VA-01 House election: Rob Wittman vote percentAt least 48%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202771%—Kalshi76¢$510¢Thin
Wisconsin Governor margin of victoryCrowley, 7+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202736%—Kalshi37¢$52¢Thin
When will FISA be reauthorized again?Before Jan 1, 2027PoliticsEnds Jul 15, 202665%—Kalshi67¢$55¢Thin
How many Republican senators will lose reelection in 2026?5 or morePoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202653%—Kalshi55¢$55¢Thin
Ilie Bolojan out as Prime Minister of Romania?Before Oct 1, 2026PoliticsEnds Jul 31, 20269%—Kalshi12¢$56¢Thin
Will Trump reverse the Lake America renaming?Before Nov 1, 2026PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20264%—Kalshi4¢$51¢Thin
FL-09 House winner?Dan GreenPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202765%—Kalshi67¢$54¢Thin
KS-04 House Election WinnerRon Estes (R)PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202693%—Polymarket93¢$51¢Thin
NY-08 House Election WinnerHakeem Jeffries (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202697%—Polymarket99.3¢$55¢Thin
Ohio Secretary of State winner?Robert SpraguePoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202754%—Kalshi59¢$510¢Thin
Ohio Senate winner? (2028)Republican partyPoliticsEnds Nov 7, 202954%—Kalshi55¢$53¢Thin
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202624%—Polymarket29¢$510¢Thin
Who will Trump endorse?PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 20262%—Polymarket2.3¢$50.1¢Thin
Will any member of Congress be expelled in 2026?PoliticsEnds Jan 1, 20278%—Kalshi12¢$58¢Thin
Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?PoliticsEnds Sep 27, 202694%—Polymarket94¢$51¢Thin
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by...?PoliticsEnds Oct 31, 202635%—Polymarket35¢$51¢Thin
Will SCOTUS bar unpled affirmative defenses at summary judgment?PoliticsEnds Aug 1, 202856%—Kalshi59¢$56¢Thin
Next Regional Board Chair of Jönköping?Rachel De BassoPoliticsEnds Sep 13, 202687%—Polymarket87¢$51¢Thin
NJ-07 House winner?Rebecca BennettPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202781%—Kalshi82¢$52¢Thin
Will SCOTUS count subscribers to a video provider’s non-video offerings as VPPA consumers?PoliticsEnds Aug 1, 202841%—Kalshi45¢$48¢Thin
Nebraska's 2nd District margin of victoryPowell, 12+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202740%—Kalshi44¢$48¢Thin
California Governor General Election: voter turnoutAbove 12MPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202767%—Kalshi71¢$49¢Thin
Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?PoliticsEnds Oct 3, 202632%—Polymarket39¢$415¢Thin
Mato Grosso Senate Election: 1st PlaceMauro MendesPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202669%—Polymarket71¢$44¢Thin
Pennsylvania Senate winner? (2028)Democratic partyPoliticsEnds Nov 7, 202968%—Kalshi69¢$43¢Thin
Alaska Senate winner? (2028)Republican partyPoliticsEnds Nov 7, 202975%—Kalshi79¢$49¢Thin
Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats HeldPLPoliticsEnds Oct 3, 202689%—Polymarket89¢$41¢Thin
IA-02 House winner?Lindsay JamesPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202752%—Kalshi54¢$44¢Thin
Rhode Island Senate winner?Jack ReedPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202798%—Kalshi98.4¢$41¢Thin
Colorado Senate General Election: voter turnoutAbove 2.50MPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202754%—Kalshi57¢$37¢Thin
Will Trump take federal action against the Smithsonian?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202627%—Kalshi30¢$36¢Thin
Next Regional Board Chair of Örebro?Jenny SteenPoliticsEnds Sep 13, 202672%—Polymarket78.4¢$313¢Thin
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...?PoliticsEnds Dec 30, 20252%—Polymarket2.3¢$30.1¢Thin
Will AOC announce a run for Senate or President before 2028?PresidentPoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202766%—Polymarket66¢$31¢Thin
Berlin state election: SPD vote share?At least 9%PoliticsEnds Sep 20, 202767%—Kalshi71¢$39¢Thin
Texas 28 House General Election: voter turnoutAbove 182KPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202748%—Kalshi51¢$37¢Thin
Which agencies will Trump eliminate?USAIDPoliticsEnds Jan 20, 202921%—Kalshi23¢$34¢
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