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Politics

6,648 events across Kalshi and Polymarket, most traded first.

KalshiPolymarketOn both venues
MarketChance24hBest priceVol 24hSpread
Florida's 23rd District margin of victoryFrankel, 20+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202784%—Kalshi94.8¢$522¢Thin
Tver Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerUnited RussiaPoliticsEnds Sep 20, 202693%—Polymarket96.6¢$58¢Thin
US Trade Deficit in 2026?800–900BPoliticsEnds Feb 27, 202737%—Polymarket50¢$526¢Thin
VA-01 House election: Rob Wittman vote percentAt least 48%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202771%—Kalshi75¢$59¢Thin
Wisconsin Governor margin of victoryCrowley, 7+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202736%—Kalshi37¢$52¢Thin
How many Republican senators will lose reelection in 2026?5 or morePoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202653%—Kalshi55¢$55¢Thin
Ilie Bolojan out as Prime Minister of Romania?Before Oct 1, 2026PoliticsEnds Jul 31, 20269%—Kalshi11¢$55¢Thin
Will Trump reverse the Lake America renaming?Before Nov 1, 2026PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20264%—Kalshi4¢$51¢Thin
FL-09 House winner?Dan GreenPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202765%—Kalshi67¢$54¢Thin
NY-08 House Election WinnerHakeem Jeffries (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202697%—Polymarket99.3¢$55¢Thin
Ohio Secretary of State winner?Robert SpraguePoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202754%—Kalshi59¢$510¢Thin
Ohio Senate winner? (2028)Republican partyPoliticsEnds Nov 7, 202954%—Kalshi55¢$53¢Thin
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202624%—Polymarket29¢$510¢Thin
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20266%—Polymarket7¢$52¢Thin
US congress stock trading ban before 2027?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20265%—Polymarket5¢$51¢Thin
Will any member of Congress be expelled in 2026?PoliticsEnds Jan 1, 20278%—Kalshi12¢$57¢Thin
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?PoliticsEnds Dec 30, 202610%—Polymarket11¢$53¢Thin
Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?PoliticsEnds Sep 27, 202693%—Polymarket94¢$52¢Thin
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20265%—Polymarket5¢$51¢Thin
Will SCOTUS bar unpled affirmative defenses at summary judgment?PoliticsEnds Aug 1, 202856%—Kalshi59¢$56¢Thin
Next Regional Board Chair of Jönköping?Rachel De BassoPoliticsEnds Sep 13, 202687%—Polymarket87¢$51¢Thin
NJ-07 House winner?Rebecca BennettPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202781%—Kalshi82¢$52¢Thin
Will SCOTUS count subscribers to a video provider’s non-video offerings as VPPA consumers?PoliticsEnds Aug 1, 202841%—Kalshi45¢$48¢Thin
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20266%—Polymarket6.2¢$40.1¢Thin
Nebraska's 2nd District margin of victoryPowell, 12+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202740%—Kalshi44¢$48¢Thin
California Governor General Election: voter turnoutAbove 12MPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202767%—Kalshi71¢$49¢Thin
NJ-07 House election: Tom Kean Jr. vote percentAt least 50%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202727%—Kalshi29¢$45¢Thin
Pennsylvania Senate winner? (2028)Democratic partyPoliticsEnds Nov 7, 202968%—Kalshi69¢$43¢Thin
Alaska Senate winner? (2028)Republican partyPoliticsEnds Nov 7, 202975%—Kalshi79¢$49¢Thin
IA-02 House winner?Lindsay JamesPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202752%—Kalshi54¢$44¢Thin
Colorado Senate General Election: voter turnoutAbove 2.50MPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202754%—Kalshi57¢$37¢Thin
Israel Election: Reservists–New Economic Party vote share?<2.75%PoliticsEnds Nov 30, 202638%—Polymarket53¢$330¢Thin
Will Trump take federal action against the Smithsonian?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202627%—Kalshi30¢$36¢Thin
Next Regional Board Chair of Örebro?Jenny SteenPoliticsEnds Sep 13, 202672%—Polymarket78.3¢$313¢Thin
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...?PoliticsEnds Dec 30, 20252%—Polymarket2.3¢$30.1¢Thin
Texas 28 House General Election: voter turnoutAbove 182KPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202748%—Kalshi51¢$37¢Thin
Which agencies will Trump eliminate?USAIDPoliticsEnds Jan 20, 202921%—Kalshi23¢$34¢
Arizona Senate winner? (2028)Democratic partyPoliticsEnds Nov 7, 202972%—Kalshi73¢$32¢Thin
Arkansas Senate winner? (2028)Republican partyPoliticsEnds Nov 7, 202993%—Kalshi96.8¢$38¢Thin
Iowa Attorney General winner?Brenna BirdPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202768%—Kalshi71¢$37¢Thin
Utah Senate winner? (2028)Republican partyPoliticsEnds Nov 7, 202983%—Kalshi84¢$33¢Thin
Vermont Senate winner? (2028)Democratic partyPoliticsEnds Nov 7, 202994%—Kalshi95.6¢$33¢Thin
Washington Senate winner? (2028)Democratic partyPoliticsEnds Nov 7, 202994%—Kalshi95¢$32¢Thin
Pete Hegseth impeached by...?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20264%—Polymarket6.2¢$34¢Thin
IL-14 House Election WinnerLauren Underwood (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202695%—Polymarket95.8¢$32¢Thin
Orenburg Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerUnited RussiaPoliticsEnds Sep 20, 202696%—Polymarket96.9¢$32¢Thin
Idaho Senate election: Jim Risch vote percentAt least 58%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202738%—Kalshi42¢$39¢Thin
Will Ontario lift its U.S. alcohol restrictions in 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202628%—Kalshi32¢$37¢Thin
Kraków mayoral election winner?Łukasz GibałaPoliticsEnds Sep 27, 202776%—Kalshi80¢$39¢Thin
Hawaii Governor winner?Josh GreenPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202797%—Kalshi98¢$21¢Thin
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