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Politics

6,664 events

KalshiPolymarketOn both venues
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When will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law?Before Jan 1, 2027PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202610%—Kalshi12¢$600
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?No changePoliticsEnds Oct 27, 202667%—Polymarket68¢$594
Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?September 30PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20262%—Polymarket1.7¢$584
IA-03 House Election WinnerSarah Trone Garriott (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202677%—Polymarket78¢$583
LA-02 House Election WinnerDemocratic PartyPoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202696%—Polymarket96.9¢$580
AR-04 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 30-35%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202634%—Polymarket35.7¢$578
TX-31 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 10-15%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202631%—Polymarket33¢$577
Oklahoma Senate Election WinnerKevin Hern (R)Politics96%—Polymarket96¢$576
Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?Maria BartiromoPoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202617%—Polymarket18¢$574
TX-13 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 35-40%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202627%—Polymarket28¢$568
NJ-03 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 15-20%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202625%—Polymarket25¢$566
2028 Democratic VP nomineeElissa SlotkinPoliticsEnds Nov 7, 202811%—Kalshi12¢$565
Blue tsunami in 2026?PoliticsEnds Nov 29, 202645%—Polymarket45¢$565
Trump approval rating on September 18?38.0–38.4PoliticsEnds Sep 18, 202641%—Polymarket44¢$563
AK-AL House Election WinnerRepublican PartyPoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202688%—Polymarket88¢$562
Which G7 leader will leave office next?Emmanuel MacronPoliticsEnds Jan 1, 204567%—Kalshi70¢$561
Next Premier of QuebecPaul St-Pierre PlamondonPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202678%—Polymarket79¢$560
TX-23 House Election WinnerBrandon Herrera (R)PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202669%—Polymarket69¢$559
Will NYC’s rent freeze take effect on October 1?PoliticsEnds Oct 1, 202689%—Kalshi92¢$558
How high will gas prices in New York get this year?Above $4.80PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202660%—Kalshi65¢$556
Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?PoliticsEnds Jan 20, 202917%—Kalshi17¢$555
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202620%—Polymarket20¢$550
US GDP growth in Q3 2026?≥3.0%PoliticsEnds Oct 29, 202650%—Polymarket50¢$550
KS-03 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 20-25%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202647%—Polymarket54.8¢$546
CO-01 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 60-65%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202637%—Polymarket52¢$540
Minnesota Senate Election: Turnout2.6M-2.75MPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202641%—Polymarket41¢$539
OH-04 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 15-25%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202620%—Polymarket20¢$536
When will Wales call a snap election?Before Jul 1, 2027PoliticsEnds Jun 30, 202726%—Kalshi33¢$535
Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202635%—Polymarket36¢$535
PA-09 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 35-40%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202645%—Polymarket58¢$533
DE-AL House Election WinnerDemocratic PartyPoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202695%—Polymarket95¢$528
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026PoliticsEnds Dec 30, 202682%—Polymarket82¢$528
Trump meets with Putin by...?December 31PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202664%—Polymarket65¢$527
MD-01 House winner?Andy HarrisPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202793%—Kalshi95.6¢$526
ID-01 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 35-40%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202638%—Polymarket46¢$525
How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?Below 36%PoliticsEnds Aug 5, 202636%—Kalshi36¢$523
Will Russia capture Prymorske by...?September 30PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20263%—Polymarket4.4¢$522
Will David Hearn be charged again in connection with the Reflecting Pool?Before Oct 1, 2026PoliticsEnds Aug 31, 20264%—Kalshi4¢$519
OH-09 House winner?Marcy KapturPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202774%—Kalshi74¢$514
IL-04 House winner?Patty GarciaPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202794%—Kalshi96.3¢$513
MN-06 House winner?Tom EmmerPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202793%—Kalshi94.8¢$513
When will AOC announce her presidential candidacy?Before Jan 1, 2027PoliticsEnds Jan 1, 202713%—Kalshi14¢$511
Wisconsin Governor winner?David CrowleyPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202781%—Kalshi81¢$510
FL-17 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 10-15%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202642%—Polymarket42¢$510
Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaPoliticsEnds Oct 3, 202696%—Polymarket95.9¢$510
Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?September 30PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202696%—Polymarket96.5¢$510
ND-AL House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 25-30%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202632%—Polymarket38¢$508
Alabama Governor winner?Tommy TubervillePoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202792%—Kalshi92.9¢$508
Berlin State Election: SPD Vote Share?<10%PoliticsEnds Sep 20, 202653%—Polymarket52.9¢$506
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?Before January 21, 2029PoliticsEnds Jan 1, 202723%—Kalshi24¢$505
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