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392 events

KalshiPolymarketOn both venues
MarketChance24hBest priceVolume 24h
GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?$6.50-$7.00Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202635%—Polymarket35¢$1.4K
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of September?AnthropicTech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202690%—Polymarket90¢$1.3K
Next Gemini Pro model releaseBefore Nov 1, 2026Tech & ScienceEnds Aug 31, 202679%—Kalshi81¢$1.3K
Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?50%+Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202645%−18¢Polymarket45¢$1.3K
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?AlibabaTech & ScienceEnds Oct 31, 202670%—Polymarket73¢$1.3K
Z.ai market share this weekAbove 6.3%Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 20, 202680%—Kalshi99¢$1.2K
When will SpaceX launch Dragon Crew-13Before Oct 1, 2026Tech & ScienceEnds Aug 31, 202612%—Kalshi21¢$1.1K
Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by...?Tech & ScienceEnds Oct 18, 202639%−7¢Polymarket53¢$1.1K
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?55%+Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202634%—Polymarket34¢$1.1K
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?October 31Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202685%—Polymarket85¢$1K
Open Source market share on Sep 16thAbove 65%Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 17, 202660%——$1K
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?October 31Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202695%—Polymarket99.8¢$999
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?AnthropicTech & ScienceEnds Oct 31, 202654%—Polymarket54.5¢$923
Meta's "Watermelon" model released by...?November 30Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202688%—Polymarket89¢$899
When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35Before Oct 1, 2026Tech & ScienceEnds Aug 6, 20262%—Kalshi2¢$876
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?55%+Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202619%—Polymarket21¢$863
#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?ShadowrocketTech & ScienceEnds Sep 18, 202696%—Polymarket97¢$831
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?Before Jan 1, 2027Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202633%—Kalshi43¢$803
#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?Lindsay ClancyTech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202638%—Polymarket38¢$775
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?AnthropicTech & ScienceEnds Oct 31, 202673%—Polymarket74¢$773
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?OpenAITech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202672%—Polymarket73.4¢$772
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of September?AnthropicTech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202670%—Polymarket78¢$765
How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?<12Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202660%—Polymarket60.4¢$758
Top 5 Most Searched Athletes on Google 2026Jalen BrunsonTech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202621%—Polymarket21¢$745
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?September 30Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 20266%—Polymarket6¢$723
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?December 31Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 15, 202699%—Polymarket99.1¢$696
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?#3Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202626%—Polymarket26¢$693
How much will the iPhone 18 Pro cost?$1300+Tech & ScienceEnds Mar 31, 20271%—Polymarket1.9¢$670
How many launches will Rocket Lab have before 2027?Above 4Tech & ScienceEnds Jan 8, 202796%—Kalshi99¢$666
Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?55%+Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202635%—Polymarket35¢$654
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?AmazonTech & ScienceEnds Oct 31, 202611%—Polymarket12¢$650
GPU rental prices (H200) end of 2026?$3.50-$4.00Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202620%—Polymarket20.2¢$645
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?OpenAITech & ScienceEnds Jan 1, 202731%—Kalshi32¢$621
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?December 31, 2027Tech & ScienceEnds Jun 30, 202765%—Polymarket65¢$529
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?Tech & ScienceEnds Jan 1, 20278%—Kalshi9¢$527
When will Google release Gemini 4?Before Oct 1, 2026Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 15, 20266%—Kalshi7¢$507
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202664%—Polymarket78¢$504
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution?Before Jan 1, 2027Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202650%—Kalshi51¢$498
When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?Before NovemberTech & ScienceEnds Aug 31, 202612%—Kalshi20¢$492
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?October 31, 2026Tech & ScienceEnds Oct 31, 202612%—Polymarket12¢$490
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?1490+Tech & Science78%—Polymarket79.8¢$482
Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai)ChatGPTTech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202681%—Kalshi83¢$476
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?Z.aiTech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202644%—Polymarket46.3¢$467
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Z.aiTech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202670%—Polymarket71¢$453
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202617%—Polymarket17¢$447
Top 5 Most Searched Passings on Google 2026Dolly PartonTech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202691%—Polymarket93¢$444
GTA VI: PS5 Launch Price$80+Tech & ScienceEnds Nov 19, 20265%—Polymarket5.3¢$437
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?October 12–October 18Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 20, 202622%—Polymarket22¢$425
Where will Waymo operate in 2026?New Orleans, LATech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 20265%—Kalshi7¢$378
Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?Denver, COTech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202680%—Polymarket82¢$364
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