Skip to content
Back to eventKalshiKalshi · Climate and Weather

Will an earthquake of at least 7.2 magnitude occur worldwide before Oct 1, 2026?

Pays out if the result is 7.2 or more.

Chance

44%

Buy Yes

49¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

62¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

—

as Kalshi reports it

Spread

11¢

round tripThin

Prices from Kalshi, updated 28 seconds ago. Ends Oct 1, 3:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Rules

How this market is decided
Settled by USGS. Contract terms (PDF)

If an earthquake with a magnitude at least 7.2 on the Moment Magnitude Scale occurs with its epicenter in worldwide before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

Keep going