Polymarket· World · Brazil · Politics · Elections

Will Lula win between 35% and 38% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Chance

5%

Buy Yes

7.3¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

97.8¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 5 minutes ago. Ends Oct 5, 2:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Can’t both happenWill Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?43¢
Can’t both happenWill Lula win between 38% and 41% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?18¢
Can’t both happenWill Lula win between 41% and 44% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?40¢
Can’t both happenWill Lula win less than 35% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?9.6¢

Latest trades

9 hours agoBought No at 98¢$20
9 hours agoBought No at 85¢$34
9 hours agoBought No at 85¢$5
9 hours agoBought No at 85¢$29
10 hours agoSold Yes at 15¢$3
10 hours agoSold Yes at 15¢$3
10 hours agoBought No at 85¢$34
11 hours agoBought No at 83¢$17
12 hours agoBought No at 97¢$40