Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Lula Vote Share?

The market resolves based on Lula's vote share in the first round of the Brazil Presidential Election.

Polymarket$1.3K traded 24hEnds Oct 4, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

Outcome	Chance	24h	Polymarket
44%+	52%	—	76¢
41-44%	26%	—	40¢
38-41%	11%	—	20¢
<35%	7%	—	12.9¢
35-38%	4%	—	7.3¢

52%

—

Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

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