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PolymarketPolymarket· World · Brazil · Politics · Elections

Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Chance

42%

Buy Yes

43¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

60¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 25 minutes ago. Ends Oct 5, 2:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

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Latest trades

  • 4 hours agoBought No at 47¢$7
  • 4 hours agoBought No at 47¢$2
  • 4 hours agoSold Yes at 40¢$32
  • 6 hours agoSold No at 55¢$11
  • 7 hours agoSold No at 55¢$7
  • 7 hours agoSold No at 55¢$7
  • 7 hours agoBought No at 59¢$1
  • 8 hours agoBought Yes at 39.5¢$120
  • 8 hours agoBought Yes at 34¢$7
  • 8 hours agoBought Yes at 33¢$40