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PolymarketPolymarket· World · Global Elections · Brazil · Elections

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?

Chance

3%

Buy Yes

4.1¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

98.8¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 17 minutes ago. Ends Oct 4, 12:00 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

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Latest trades

  • 5 hours agoSold Yes at 1.4¢$0
  • 17 hours agoSold No at 95.9¢$5
  • 2 days agoBought No at 97.8¢$125
  • 2 days agoBought No at 97.6¢$29
  • 2 days agoBought No at 97.6¢$20