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PolymarketPolymarket· World · Global Elections · Brazil · Elections

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?

Chance

18%

Buy Yes

18¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

83¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 4 minutes ago. Ends Oct 4, 12:00 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

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Latest trades

  • 17 hours agoSold No at 82¢$4
  • yesterdayBought Yes at 17.8¢$4
  • yesterdaySold Yes at 16¢$1
  • yesterdayBought Yes at 19¢$1
  • yesterdaySold No at 81.1¢$58
  • 2 days agoBought No at 85¢$26
  • 2 days agoBought No at 85¢$17
  • 2 days agoBought No at 85¢$109
  • 2 days agoSold Yes at 14¢$1
  • 2 days agoBought Yes at 16¢$1