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PolymarketPolymarket· World · Global Elections · Brazil · Elections

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?

Chance

49%

Buy Yes

50¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

52¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 23 minutes ago. Ends Oct 4, 12:00 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

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Latest trades

  • 10 hours agoBought Yes at 49¢$25
  • 11 hours agoSold No at 51¢$22
  • 12 hours agoSold Yes at 48¢$47
  • 12 hours agoBought No at 51¢$299
  • 12 hours agoSold Yes at 49¢$49
  • 17 hours agoSold No at 50¢$3
  • 23 hours agoSold No at 50¢$3
  • yesterdayBought Yes at 49¢$1
  • yesterdayBought Yes at 49¢$26
  • yesterdayBought Yes at 49¢$147