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PolymarketPolymarket· World · Global Elections · Brazil · Elections

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?

Chance

5%

Buy Yes

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

97.3¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 3 minutes ago. Ends Oct 4, 12:00 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • yesterdayBought Yes at 2.5¢$0
  • 2 days agoBought Yes at 5.8¢$23