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PolymarketPolymarket· World · Global Elections · Brazil · Elections

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?

Chance

1%

Buy Yes

0.6¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

99.5¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 23 minutes ago. Ends Oct 4, 12:00 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • 17 hours agoSold No at 99.4¢$5
  • yesterdaySold Yes at 0.5¢$1
  • 2 days agoBought No at 99.5¢$50
  • 2 days agoBought No at 99.5¢$20
  • 2 days agoBought No at 99.5¢$127
  • 2 days agoBought No at 99.5¢$30