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2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?D-House, D-SenatePoliticsEnds Feb 1, 202754%+2¢Kalshi54¢$150.1K
Blue wave in 2026?PoliticsEnds Feb 1, 202780%+4¢Kalshi80¢$12.3K
When will the House leave for its pre-election recess?Before Sep 18, 2026PoliticsEnds Sep 3, 202697%$6.4K
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?Above 58CryptoEnds Dec 31, 202610%+1¢Polymarket11¢$5.1K
How many votes will a Russia sanctions bill receive in the House?Above 220PoliticsEnds Jan 1, 202782%+9¢Kalshi83¢$4.2K
How many FY2027 appropriations bills will become law before Oct 1, 2026?At least 1PoliticsEnds Oct 1, 20265%Kalshi$607
Which bills will become law in 2026?Data center utility cost protectionPoliticsEnds Dec 30, 202617%Polymarket21¢$312
Who will be the next Senate Judiciary chair?Mike LeePoliticsEnds Jan 8, 202844%Kalshi46¢$96
Tom Kean Jr. out as US Rep before term ends?PoliticsEnds Jan 3, 202712%Polymarket15¢$32
Will any member of Congress be expelled in 2026?PoliticsEnds Jan 1, 202714%Kalshi15¢$31
Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks?Before Jan 21, 2029PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202632%Kalshi32¢$20
OR-03 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 50-55%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202622%Polymarket23¢$15
NC-14 House Election WinnerTim Moore (R)PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202688%Polymarket88¢$13
VA-02 House winner?Elaine LuriaPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202781%Kalshi82¢$10
FL-16 House winner?Sydney GrutersPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202782%Kalshi84¢$5
OH-09 House Election WinnerMarcy Kaptur (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202674%Polymarket74¢$4
Will Republicans lose the House majority before the midterms?PoliticsEnds Jan 8, 20274%Kalshi5.6¢$3
How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026?At least 1PoliticsEnds Feb 1, 202715%Kalshi17¢$2
Will Trump publicly call for John Thune to step down as Senate Majority Leader?Before Jan 1, 2027PoliticsEnds Aug 31, 202635%Kalshi38¢$1
Will Congressional salaries increase?Before Jan 1, 2027PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202610%Kalshi13¢$1
FL-15 House winner?Laurel LeePoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202791%Kalshi92¢$0
OH-14 House winner?David JoycePoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202794%Kalshi96¢$0
TN-01 House winner?Diana HarshbargerPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202796%Kalshi99¢$0
FL-17 House winner?Greg SteubePoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202793%Kalshi95.9¢$0
AL-04 House winner?Robert AderholtPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202796%Kalshi98.7¢$0
AL-03 House winner?Mike RogersPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202799%Kalshi99.7¢$0
Who will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress?Jim JordanPoliticsEnds Nov 30, 202732%Kalshi33¢
PA-15 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 35-40%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202632%Polymarket32¢
Which member of Congress will have the biggest returns in 2025?Roger WilliamsPoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202647%Kalshi84¢
PA-01 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 6-9%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202617%Polymarket18¢
OR-01 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 50-55%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202628%Polymarket29¢
CA-08 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 25-30%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202643%Polymarket83.9¢
CO-03 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 6-9%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202628%Polymarket41¢
Illinois's 10th District margin of victorySchneider, 19+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202792%
Illinois's 11th District margin of victoryFoster, 8+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202793%Kalshi95.5¢
Illinois's 12th District margin of victoryBost, 26+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202782%Kalshi85¢
Illinois's 13th District margin of victoryBudzinski, 9+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202791%Kalshi94.4¢
IL-08 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 15-20%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202634%Polymarket36¢
Illinois's 14th District margin of victoryUnderwood, 5+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202794%Kalshi98.2¢
GA-03 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)Republican 20-25%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202639%Polymarket40.6¢