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Economics

1,728 events across Kalshi and Polymarket, most traded first.

KalshiPolymarketOn both venues
MarketChance24hBest priceVol 24hSpread
US semiconductor production growth in 2026?Above 8%EconomicsEnds Jan 17, 202797%—Kalshi98¢—3¢Thin
Velo Point of Sale Growth in SeptemberAbove 250EconomicsEnds Oct 2, 202652%—Kalshi99¢—95¢Thin
Walmart US comparable sales growth (ex-fuel) in Q3Above 3.4%EconomicsEnds Mar 19, 202763%—Kalshi67¢—9¢Thin
Webull funded accounts in fiscal 2026Above 5.25 millionEconomicsEnds May 26, 202776%—Kalshi76¢—1¢Thin
Wendy's Credit Card Spend in SeptemberAbove 75EconomicsEnds Oct 6, 202699%—Kalshi99¢—1¢Thin
What will the price of TrendForce's DDR5 be at year-end 2027?Above $25.00EconomicsEnds Dec 31, 202785%—Kalshi87¢—4¢Thin
Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by September 30?↑$195BEconomicsEnds Oct 1, 202651%—Polymarket96¢—90¢Thin
Williams-Sonoma brand growth in Q3Above 3%EconomicsEnds Mar 18, 202796%—Kalshi99¢—6¢Thin
Will USD/KRW hit __ in 2026?↓1100EconomicsEnds Dec 30, 202645%—Polymarket84¢—78¢Thin
Wingstop total system-wide restaurants in fiscal 2026Above 3400EconomicsEnds May 2, 202792%—Kalshi92¢—1¢Thin
Zyn Point of Sale Growth in SeptemberAbove 98EconomicsEnds Oct 2, 202687%—Kalshi99¢—25¢Thin
Airbnb Inc. nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026Above 565 millionEconomicsEnds May 13, 202784%—Kalshi88¢—9¢Thin
Altria Group cigarette shipments in Q3Above 14 billionEconomicsEnds Feb 24, 202797%—Kalshi99¢—5¢Thin
American Express cards-in-force in fiscal 2026Above 156 millionEconomicsEnds Apr 23, 202795%—Kalshi98¢—7¢Thin
Aritzia comparable sales growth in fiscal 2027Above 12%EconomicsEnds Jul 30, 202797%—Kalshi99¢—5¢Thin
Auto-loan delinquencies in Q3 2026Above 4.8%EconomicsEnds Nov 3, 202696%—Kalshi99¢—7¢Thin
Clear active clear+ members in 2026Above 8.4 millionEconomicsEnds Mar 31, 202892%—Kalshi96¢—8¢Thin
Constellation Brands Beer Shipments in fiscal 2027Above 405 millionEconomicsEnds Oct 29, 202895%—Kalshi99¢—8¢Thin
Constellation Brands total beer shipments in Q2Above 114 millionEconomicsEnds Feb 1, 202794%—Kalshi95¢—3¢Thin
CPI core month-over-month in Nov 2026?Exactly 0.2%EconomicsEnds Dec 10, 202644%—Kalshi48¢—9¢Thin
CPI core month-over-month in Oct 2026?Exactly 0.1%EconomicsEnds Nov 10, 202642%—Kalshi75¢—66¢Thin
Dollar General same-store sales growth in Q3Above 1%EconomicsEnds Apr 2, 202796%—Kalshi99¢—6¢Thin
DoorDash total orders in fiscal 2026Above 3.75 billionEconomicsEnds May 12, 202793%—Kalshi94¢—2¢Thin
eBay gross merchandise volume in Q3Above $22 billionEconomicsEnds Feb 24, 202793%—Kalshi97¢—9¢Thin
Futu total funded accounts in fiscal 2026Above 4.1 millionEconomicsEnds Jun 13, 202788%—Kalshi92¢—9¢Thin
How high will the Shanghai Containerized Freight Index be at EOY 2026?Above 1,500EconomicsEnds Dec 25, 202690%—Kalshi94¢—8¢Thin
Iowa ethanol production in 2026Above 4.3 billion gallonsEconomicsEnds Jan 31, 202796%—Kalshi96¢—1¢Thin
ISM Manufacturing PMI in SeptemberAt least 51EconomicsEnds Oct 1, 202698%—Kalshi99¢—2¢Thin
KFC same-store sales growth in fiscal 2026Above -1%EconomicsEnds May 5, 202796%—Kalshi98¢—5¢Thin
Klarna active klarna consumers in Q3Above 121 millionEconomicsEnds Mar 10, 202781%—Kalshi83¢—4¢Thin
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?Goldman SachsEconomicsEnds Dec 30, 202783%—Polymarket83¢—1¢Thin
Life360 monthly active users in Q3Above 104.5 millionEconomicsEnds Mar 10, 202797%————Thin
Lockheed Martin headcount in fiscal 2026Above 119 thousandEconomicsEnds Apr 27, 202797%—Kalshi99¢—5¢Thin
Marriott International total rooms in Q3Above 1.82 millionEconomicsEnds Feb 24, 202795%—Kalshi99¢—9¢Thin
Match total payers in 2026Above 12.4 millionEconomicsEnds Mar 31, 202872%—Kalshi76¢—9¢Thin
McDonald's comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026Above 1.5%EconomicsEnds Apr 27, 202780%—Kalshi82¢—5¢Thin
McDonald's Corporation global comparable sales growth in Q3 2026Above 1.5%EconomicsEnds Mar 4, 202791%—Kalshi99¢—16¢Thin
Meta advertisement impressions growth in fiscal 2026Above 8%EconomicsEnds Apr 28, 202797%—Kalshi99¢—5¢Thin
Meta family daily active people in 2026Above 3.66 billionEconomicsEnds Mar 31, 202891%—Kalshi93¢—4¢Thin
Netflix headcount in 2026Above 16500EconomicsEnds Mar 31, 202893%—Kalshi96¢—7¢Thin
Nevada visitor volume in 2026Above 47 millionEconomicsEnds Jun 30, 202795%—Kalshi95¢—1¢Thin
New York City rent increase in 20​26Above 0%EconomicsEnds Jan 10, 202796%—Kalshi99¢—6¢Thin
NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Average hourly price in April 2027Above $0.25EconomicsEnds Apr 30, 202795%—Kalshi98¢—7¢Thin
NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Average hourly price in DecemberAbove $0.25EconomicsEnds Dec 31, 202697%————Thin
NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Average hourly price in January 2027Above $0.25EconomicsEnds Jan 31, 202794%————Thin
NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Average hourly price in June 2027Above $0.25EconomicsEnds Jun 30, 202794%—Kalshi99¢—10¢Thin
NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Average hourly price in May 2027Above $0.25EconomicsEnds May 31, 202793%—Kalshi98¢—10¢Thin
NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Average hourly price in SeptemberAbove $0.25EconomicsEnds Sep 30, 202699%————Thin
Oracle headcount in fiscal 2027Above 125000EconomicsEnds Mar 31, 202882%—Kalshi84¢—5¢Thin
Perplexity IPO Closing Market CapNo IPO before 2028EconomicsEnds Dec 31, 202763%—Polymarket63¢—1¢Thin
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