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Politics

6,661 events

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Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election WinnerGuillaume Cliche-RivardPoliticsEnds Oct 5, 202656%—Polymarket67¢$165
Morocco Legislative Elections: Party WinnerPAMPoliticsEnds Sep 23, 202671%—Polymarket73¢$164
FL-27 House winner?Maria Elvira SalazarPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202779%—Kalshi80¢$164
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Nevada?3PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202672%—Polymarket73¢$163
Will Fox win summary judgment against Smartmatic?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202723%—Kalshi25¢$163
Will Trump rename the Strait of Hormuz?Before Oct 1, 2026PoliticsEnds Sep 14, 20265%—Kalshi7¢$163
FL-02 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 10-15%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202641%—Polymarket43¢$162
Georgia Secretary of State Election WinnerPenny Brown Reynolds (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202654%—Polymarket56¢$162
Brighton Mayoral Election WinnerLeigh GrayPoliticsEnds Oct 27, 202680%—Polymarket85¢$161
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Michigan?8PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202642%—Polymarket42¢$160
Russia nuclear test by...?September 30, 2026PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20261%—Polymarket1.4¢$159
OH-12 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 25-30%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202630%—Polymarket41¢$159
When will Trump's next address to the nation be?Before Oct 1, 2026PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202621%—Kalshi22¢$159
Zelenskyy # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?60-79PoliticsStarts Fri, Sep 18, 12:00 PM ET47%—Polymarket72¢$159
Baja California Governor Election WinnerJulieta Ramírez PadillaPoliticsEnds Jun 6, 202770%—Polymarket70.7¢$158
When will a farm bill become law?Before Jan 1, 2027PoliticsEnds Aug 1, 202619%—Kalshi21¢$158
2028 Presidential race: exact outcomeAOC defeats JD VancePoliticsEnds Jan 20, 202910%—Kalshi11¢$157
Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Sep 2026?PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202666%—Kalshi71¢$157
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?Before 2027PoliticsEnds Jan 1, 202716%—Kalshi17¢$157
Which parties will be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?AfDPoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202643%—Polymarket44¢$156
Missouri's 2nd District margin of victoryRepublicans, 6+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202729%—Kalshi32¢$156
2028 Democratic Presidential ticketGavin Newsom and Alexandria Ocasio-CortezPoliticsEnds Nov 7, 20288%—Kalshi9¢$155
Maine Senate election: Susan Collins vote percent (1st Round)At least 40%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202779%—Kalshi83¢$154
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Sep 2026?0PoliticsEnds Oct 1, 202695%—Kalshi96¢$153
Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?ParamountPolitics72%—Polymarket73¢$152
NATO article 5 before 2027?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20265%—Polymarket5.6¢$152
Florida's 14th District margin of victoryCastor, 8+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202733%—Kalshi34¢$152
What companies will Trump mention in September?TikTok / ByteDancePoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202697%—Polymarket99.2¢$151
New York City mayoral election winner?Zohran MamdaniPoliticsEnds Nov 6, 203065%—Kalshi68¢$151
Illinois Governor winner?JB PritzkerPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202795%—Kalshi95.5¢$151
When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?Before Jan 1, 2027PoliticsEnds Nov 30, 202633%—Kalshi34¢$151
New Jersey's 1st District margin of victoryNorcross, 21+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202776%—Kalshi79¢$150
Greek snap election scheduled in 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202614%—Polymarket15¢$150
Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Over/Under 17%?PoliticsEnds Sep 12, 2026>99%——$150
Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?September 30PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20264%—Polymarket6.2¢$149
Will Trump try to leave the USMCA?PoliticsEnds Jan 1, 202720%—Kalshi23¢$149
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Minas GeraisLulaPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202662%—Polymarket63¢$148
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20264%—Polymarket4.4¢$148
Quintana Roo Governor Election WinnerEugenio Segura VázquezPoliticsEnds Jun 6, 202776%—Polymarket76¢$148
NC-01 House winner?Don DavisPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202764%—Kalshi64¢$148
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?September 30PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20262%—Polymarket2.1¢$148
Iowa Governor margin of victorySand, 6+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202730%—Kalshi35¢$147
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Vote Share?31%+PoliticsEnds Sep 20, 202688%—Polymarket88¢$146
MD-04 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 80-85%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202635%—Polymarket37¢$146
VA-02 House winner?Elaine LuriaPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202779%—Kalshi80¢$146
WV-02 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 25-30%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202632%—Polymarket32¢$145
HI-01 House Election WinnerEd Case (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202695%—Polymarket96.2¢$144
Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 2nd PlaceMarcelo CrivellaPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202636%—Polymarket43.5¢$144
Who will Trump pardon?Pam BondiPoliticsEnds Jan 21, 202935%—Kalshi38¢$144
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?South KoreaPoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202622%—Polymarket25¢$143
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