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Politics

6,631 events across Kalshi and Polymarket, most traded first.

KalshiPolymarketOn both venues
MarketChance24hBest priceVol 24hSpread
Berlin state election: AfD vote share?At least 21%PoliticsEnds Sep 20, 202717%—Kalshi20¢$1106¢Thin
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202624%—Polymarket25¢$1102¢Thin
Tennessee Governor election: Marsha Blackburn vote percentAt least 54%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202781%—Kalshi87¢$11013¢Thin
Nanaimo mayoral election winner?Leonard KrogPoliticsEnds Oct 17, 202796%—Kalshi98¢$1094¢Thin
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by...?September 30PoliticsEnds Sep 15, 202619%—Polymarket20¢$1093¢Thin
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20267%—Polymarket8¢$1092¢Thin
TX-22 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 10-15%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202631%—Polymarket59¢$10957¢Thin
Next Prime Minister of the Cook IslandsMark BrownPoliticsEnds Aug 12, 202695%—Polymarket94.9¢$1080.4¢Thin
Georgia Senate Election WinnerJon Ossoff (D)Politics94%—Polymarket94¢$1081¢Thin
TN-01 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 50-55%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202635%—Polymarket36¢$1073¢Thin
Will the U.S. and China announce an AI safety agreement?Before Dec 1, 2026PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202620%—Kalshi20¢$1061¢Thin
2026 Midterms: House Turnout125-130mPoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202623%—Polymarket23¢$1061¢Thin
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20268%—Polymarket8¢$1061¢Thin
PA-04 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 25-30%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202627%—Polymarket27¢$1061¢Thin
WI-08 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 6-9%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202621%—Polymarket22¢$1063¢Thin
2028 Republican Presidential ticketJD Vance and Marco RubioPoliticsEnds Nov 7, 202828%—Kalshi30¢$1064¢Thin
Idaho Senate winner?Jim RischPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202795%—Kalshi95.4¢$1050.1¢Thin
New Taipei mayoral election winner?Lee Shu-chuanPoliticsEnds Nov 28, 202772%—Kalshi76¢$1058¢Thin
Next Ministerpräsident of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?Manuela SchwesigPoliticsEnds Sep 20, 202693%—Polymarket93¢$1051¢Thin
IL-07 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 70-75%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202630%—Polymarket30¢$1050.1¢Thin
Jewish Autonomous Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerUnited RussiaPoliticsEnds Sep 20, 202695%—Polymarket98¢$1055¢Thin
Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 1st PlaceBenedita da SilvaPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202657%—Polymarket61¢$1058¢Thin
Nigerian Senate Election WinnerAPCPoliticsEnds Jan 16, 202774%—Polymarket75¢$1043¢Thin
ID-02 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 15-20%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202628%—Polymarket29¢$1043¢Thin
Morocco Legislative Elections: 3rd PlacePIPoliticsEnds Sep 23, 202651%—Polymarket54¢$1046¢Thin
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Michigan?8PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202642%—Polymarket42¢$1041¢Thin
Philippine House winner?LakasPoliticsEnds May 31, 202941%—Kalshi44¢$1047¢Thin
NY-21 House Election WinnerAnthony Constantino (R)PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202675%—Polymarket75¢$1041¢Thin
Quebec General Election: Third PlacePLQPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202642%—Polymarket45¢$1046¢Thin
Next Regional Board Chair of Värmland?Åsa JohanssonPoliticsEnds Sep 13, 202696%—Polymarket96¢$1041¢Thin
MI-13 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 50-55%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202624%—Polymarket27¢$1036¢Thin
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 35%?PoliticsEnds Sep 20, 202683%—Polymarket85¢$1034¢Thin
Clarence mayoral election winner?Brendan BlomeleyPoliticsEnds Oct 27, 202760%—Kalshi60¢$1031¢Thin
Hobart Lord Mayor Election WinnerJohn KellyPoliticsEnds Oct 27, 202642%—Polymarket45¢$1036¢Thin
Pernambuco Senate Election: 2nd PlaceHumberto CostaPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202647%—Polymarket49¢$1025¢Thin
Who will Bernie endorse?Dan Osborn - NE-SenPoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202620%—Polymarket30.1¢$10220¢Thin
Florida Governor margin of victoryJolly, 3+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 20279%—Kalshi12¢$1026¢Thin
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202621%—Polymarket25¢$1029¢Thin
Pernambuco Senate Election: 1st PlaceMarília ArraesPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202669%—Polymarket71¢$1024¢Thin
Which ballot measures will pass in Arizona?Proposition 320PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202754%—Kalshi57¢$1016¢Thin
NY-19 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 9-12%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202622%—Polymarket26¢$1018¢Thin
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by...?PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202615%—Polymarket15¢$1010.1¢Thin
Berlin State Election: 3rd PlaceAfDPoliticsEnds Sep 20, 202754%—Kalshi56¢$1015¢Thin
Will Nancy Pelosi resign her office before the midterms?PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 20263%—Kalshi3.5¢$1010.3¢
Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202611%—Polymarket12¢$1012¢Thin
Martin Mayoral Election WinnerJán DankoPoliticsEnds Oct 24, 202646%—Polymarket46¢$1011¢Thin
Israel Election: Dems # of seats?8-9PoliticsEnds Nov 30, 202626%—Polymarket29¢$1016¢Thin
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20261%—Polymarket1.2¢$1000.6¢Thin
Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?December 31PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202614%—Polymarket14¢$1001¢Thin
GA-14 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)Republican 20-25%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202626%—Polymarket26¢$1001¢Thin
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