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Politics

6,634 events across Kalshi and Polymarket, most traded first.

KalshiPolymarketOn both venues
MarketChance24hBest priceVol 24hSpread
NJ-08 House winner?Rob MenendezPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202798%—Kalshi99.8¢$975¢Thin
Texas Railroad Commissioner Election WinnerJon Rosenthal (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202657%—Polymarket59¢$973¢Thin
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202612%—Polymarket14¢$974¢Thin
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in BahiaLulaPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202698%—Polymarket99.3¢$962¢Thin
Will the Supreme Court hear a case on Trump's tariffs in 2026?PoliticsEnds Jan 1, 202714%—Kalshi16¢$963¢Thin
Launceston mayoral election winner?Matthew GarwoodPoliticsEnds Oct 27, 202754%—Kalshi54¢$961¢Thin
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20266%—Polymarket6¢$961¢Thin
Illinois Senate Election: Turnout4.25M-4.5MPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202639%—Polymarket42¢$956¢Thin
Holborn and St Pancras by-election: Labour Party vote percentAt least 40%PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202742%—Kalshi46¢$958¢Thin
New York's 3rd District margin of victorySuozzi, 2+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202781%—Kalshi83¢$954¢Thin
CT-04 House winner?Jim HimesPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202797%—Kalshi99¢$955¢Thin
PA-01 House Election WinnerBrian Fitzpatrick (R)PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202651%—Polymarket58¢$9515¢Thin
Alabama Governor Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 10-15%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202621%—Polymarket22¢$953¢Thin
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?September 30PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20262%—Polymarket2.1¢$950.1¢Thin
Ontario Liberal Party Leadership Election WinnerNavdeep BainsPoliticsEnds Nov 21, 202652%—Polymarket52¢$941¢Thin
Texas Senate Election: Collin County WinnerJames Talarico (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202660%—Polymarket63¢$946¢Thin
MN-08 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 9-12%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202620%—Polymarket21¢$932¢Thin
Sylvia Luke out as Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii?Before Nov 1, 2026PoliticsEnds Aug 31, 202617%—Kalshi29¢$9325¢Thin
Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202643%—Polymarket45¢$935¢Thin
TX-26 House Election WinnerBrandon Gill (R)PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202697%—Polymarket99.2¢$924¢Thin
KS-02 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 3-6%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202621%—Polymarket22¢$923¢Thin
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by...?September 30PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20262%—Polymarket2.3¢$910.1¢Thin
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20266%—Polymarket6¢$911¢Thin
VA-05 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 0-5%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202638%—Polymarket73.9¢$9173¢Thin
TX-19 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 40-45%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202626%—Polymarket29¢$917¢Thin
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20262%—Polymarket2¢$910.1¢Thin
Taipei mayoral election winner?Chiang Wan-anPoliticsEnds Nov 28, 202782%—Kalshi86¢$918¢Thin
Will Jim Jordan run for Republican House Leader?PoliticsEnds Jan 31, 202751%—Polymarket51¢$911¢Thin
Mato Grosso Senate Election: 1st PlaceMauro MendesPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202670%—Polymarket72¢$914¢Thin
Wisconsin Governor Election Margin of VictoryCrowley 6-9%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202621%—Polymarket22¢$913¢Thin
South Carolina Presidential Democratic Primary WinnerKamala HarrisPoliticsEnds Jan 22, 202814%—Polymarket14¢$901¢Thin
North Carolina Supreme Court Election WinnerAnita Earls (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202678%—Polymarket79¢$902¢Thin
IL-05 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 40-45%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202626%—Polymarket27¢$902¢Thin
Virginia 09 House General Election: voter turnoutAbove 300KPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202748%—Kalshi52¢$909¢Thin
Next Mayor of LiberecLukáš HájekPoliticsEnds Jun 30, 202754%—Polymarket69¢$8930¢Thin
How many Governors will lose reelection in 2026?Exactly 1PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202656%—Kalshi60¢$898¢Thin
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by...?September 30PoliticsEnds Sep 15, 202619%—Polymarket20¢$893¢Thin
IA-03 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 3-6%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202618%—Polymarket19.6¢$893¢Thin
Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?Yisrael BeiteinuPoliticsEnds Jan 1, 202857%—Kalshi61¢$887¢Thin
Florida's 13th District margin of victoryLuna, 7+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202747%—Kalshi50¢$887¢Thin
Will LLM restrictions become law in 2026?PoliticsEnds Jan 1, 202715%—Kalshi17¢$884¢Thin
Quebec General Election: PCQ # Seats?8-10PoliticsEnds Oct 5, 202630%—Polymarket30¢$881¢Thin
KS-02 House winner?Derek SchmidtPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202790%—Kalshi93.2¢$887¢Thin
KY-03 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 35-40%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202633%—Polymarket35¢$885¢Thin
Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?PoliticsEnds Sep 20, 202662%—Polymarket63¢$872¢Thin
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202615%—Polymarket16¢$872¢Thin
Trump approval Up or Down this week?PoliticsEnds Sep 18, 202669%—Polymarket72¢$876¢Thin
FL-28 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 15-20%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202632%—Polymarket32¢$871¢Thin
Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats HeldPLPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202791%—Kalshi91¢$861¢Thin
NC-07 House Election WinnerDavid Rouzer (R)PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202684%—Polymarket84¢$861¢Thin
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