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Politics

6,634 events across Kalshi and Polymarket, most traded first.

KalshiPolymarketOn both venues
MarketChance24hBest priceVol 24hSpread
Will Christopher Luxon announce their departure as Prime Minister?Before Oct 1, 2026PoliticsEnds Aug 31, 20264%—Kalshi4¢$85—Thin
Will congestion pricing in NYC end before 2027?PoliticsEnds Jan 1, 20274%—Kalshi5.7¢$854¢Thin
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 14 - September 20)Oil / Gas / GasolinePoliticsEnds Sep 20, 202674%—Polymarket96¢$8545¢Thin
Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or AfD?PoliticsEnds Sep 20, 202665%—Polymarket81¢$8433¢Thin
US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30?PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20261%—Polymarket1.1¢$840.1¢Thin
New Hampshire Governor-Senate comboRepublican Governor, Democratic SenatorPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202777%—Kalshi78¢$842¢Thin
IA-04 House election: Dave Dawson vote percentAt least 46%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202710%—Kalshi15¢$8310¢Thin
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (9/14 - 9/20)Above 225PoliticsEnds Sep 22, 20262%—Kalshi2¢$821¢Thin
VT-AL House winner?Becca BalintPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202796%—Kalshi99¢$827¢Thin
Dems' best tossup Senate race?MichiganPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202641%—Polymarket43¢$824¢Thin
IL-06 House Election WinnerSean Casten (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202696%—Polymarket97.2¢$822¢Thin
Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?Before 2027PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202616%—Kalshi16¢$811¢
Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by...?December 31PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202634%—Polymarket34¢$811¢Thin
Nebraska's 3rd District margin of victorySmith, 36+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202791%—Kalshi94¢$816¢Thin
West Virginia Senate Election: Turnout450K-500KPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202646%—Polymarket46¢$811¢Thin
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%?PoliticsEnds Sep 20, 202628%—Polymarket31¢$815¢Thin
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsStarts Thu, Dec 31, 12:00 PM ET9%—Polymarket10.3¢$812¢Thin
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Pennsylvania?9PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202636%—Polymarket36¢$801¢Thin
Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?24-25PoliticsEnds Nov 30, 202643%—Polymarket58¢$8030¢Thin
Michigan Senate and Governor ComboDems sweepPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202663%—Polymarket63¢$801¢Thin
Ohio Secretary of State Election WinnerRobert Sprague (R)PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202659%—Polymarket65¢$8012¢Thin
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)September 30PoliticsEnds Sep 18, 20267%—Polymarket8¢$802¢Thin
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in RoraimaFlavio BolsonaroPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202699%—Polymarket99¢$800.1¢Thin
MD-03 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 35-40%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202616%—Polymarket16¢$801¢Thin
How many House seats will Democrats win in Pennsylvania?9PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202733%—Kalshi35¢$804¢Thin
Vermont Governor Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 10-15%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202621%—Polymarket21¢$801¢Thin
Ohio Attorney General Election WinnerKeith Faber (R)PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202684%—Polymarket87¢$806¢Thin
Florida Governor election: David Jolly vote percentAt least 52%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 20278%—Kalshi12¢$809¢Thin
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in MaranhãoLulaPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202698%—Polymarket98.4¢$790.1¢Thin
Nitra Region Governor Election WinnerBranislav BecíkPoliticsEnds Oct 24, 202681%—Polymarket83¢$794¢Thin
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20263%—Polymarket3.3¢$790.1¢Thin
New Mexico's 2nd District margin of victoryVasquez, 10+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202752%—Kalshi56¢$799¢Thin
Florida Senate Election: Turnout7.75M-8MPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202630%—Polymarket32.6¢$786¢Thin
MI-09 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 30-35%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202625%—Polymarket31¢$7812¢Thin
Arkansas Senate margin of victoryCotton, 16+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202754%—Kalshi58¢$789¢Thin
Launceston Mayoral Election WinnerMatthew GarwoodPoliticsEnds Oct 27, 202653%—Polymarket54¢$782¢Thin
FL-24 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 35-40%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202624%—Polymarket24¢$771¢Thin
Will Mamdani raise property taxes?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202611%—Kalshi14¢$776¢Thin
Georgia Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)Ossoff 9-12%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202623%—Polymarket23¢$771¢Thin
Maine Governor Election WinnerHannah Pingree (D)Politics95%—Polymarket95.4¢$760.1¢Thin
Next President of Kosovo?Bekim SejdiuPoliticsEnds Jan 8, 202733%—Kalshi35¢$765¢Thin
Wisconsin Governor General Election: voter turnoutAbove 3.2MPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202711%—Kalshi13¢$764¢Thin
VA-07 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 15-20%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202627%—Polymarket27¢$761¢Thin
Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?4-6PoliticsEnds Nov 30, 202661%—Polymarket61¢$761¢Thin
NJ-07 House Election WinnerRebecca Bennett (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202684%—Polymarket84¢$761¢Thin
Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats?6PoliticsEnds Nov 30, 202629%—Polymarket37.6¢$7617¢Thin
Federal District Governor Election WinnerCelina LeãoPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202684%—Polymarket86¢$764¢Thin
Chicago mayoral election winner? (2027)Alexi GiannouliasPoliticsEnds Feb 23, 202861%—Kalshi63¢$754¢Thin
FL-08 House Election WinnerMike Haridopolos (R)PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202698%—Polymarket98¢$750.1¢Thin
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (September 14 - September 19)September 18PoliticsEnds Sep 14, 202643%—Polymarket46¢$757¢Thin
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