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Politics

6,637 events across Kalshi and Polymarket, most traded first.

KalshiPolymarketOn both venues
MarketChance24hBest priceVol 24hSpread
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20263%—Polymarket3.3¢$790.1¢Thin
New Mexico's 2nd District margin of victoryVasquez, 10+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202752%—Kalshi56¢$799¢Thin
How many House seats will the Democrats win in South Carolina?1PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202674%—Polymarket74¢$781¢Thin
Mato Grosso Senate Election: 2nd PlaceJanaina RivaPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202663%—Polymarket66¢$787¢Thin
OH-08 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 15-20%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202620%—Polymarket22¢$784¢Thin
MI-09 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 30-35%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202625%—Polymarket26¢$782¢Thin
Launceston Mayoral Election WinnerMatthew GarwoodPoliticsEnds Oct 27, 202654%—Polymarket56¢$784¢Thin
FL-24 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 35-40%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202624%—Polymarket24¢$771¢Thin
Will Mamdani raise property taxes?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202612%—Kalshi14¢$775¢Thin
Georgia Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)Ossoff 9-12%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202623%—Polymarket23¢$771¢Thin
Maine Governor Election WinnerHannah Pingree (D)Politics95%—Polymarket95.4¢$760.1¢Thin
Quebec General Election: PCQ # Seats?8-10PoliticsEnds Oct 5, 202630%—Polymarket30¢$761¢Thin
Next President of Kosovo?Bekim SejdiuPoliticsEnds Jan 8, 202733%—Kalshi35¢$765¢Thin
Wisconsin Governor General Election: voter turnoutAbove 3.2MPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202711%—Kalshi13¢$764¢Thin
VA-07 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 15-20%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202627%—Polymarket27¢$761¢Thin
Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?4-6PoliticsEnds Nov 30, 202661%—Polymarket61¢$761¢Thin
NJ-07 House Election WinnerRebecca Bennett (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202684%—Polymarket84¢$761¢Thin
Bahia Senate Election: 2nd PlaceJaques WagnerPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202659%—Polymarket59¢$751¢Thin
Chicago mayoral election winner? (2027)Alexi GiannouliasPoliticsEnds Feb 23, 202862%—Kalshi63¢$753¢Thin
FL-08 House Election WinnerMike Haridopolos (R)PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202698%—Polymarket98¢$750.1¢Thin
NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)?Increase 0.01-0.99%PoliticsEnds May 31, 202842%—Kalshi44¢$755¢Thin
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (September 14 - September 19)September 18PoliticsEnds Sep 14, 202643%—Polymarket46¢$757¢Thin
Waratah–Wynyard Mayoral Election WinnerChloe FosterPoliticsEnds Oct 27, 202643%—Polymarket46.3¢$746¢Thin
NJ-01 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 30-35%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202620%—Polymarket20¢$741¢Thin
Žilina Region Governor Election WinnerErika JurinováPoliticsEnds Oct 24, 202662%—Polymarket62¢$741¢Thin
US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?December 31PoliticsEnds Oct 31, 202634%—Polymarket44¢$7421¢Thin
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20268%—Polymarket8¢$741¢Thin
Santa Catarina Governor Election WinnerJorginho MelloPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202697%—Polymarket97.3¢$730.2¢Thin
Will the Anaheim Angels naming bill become law?PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20262%—Kalshi2¢$731¢
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?None before 2027PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202664%—Polymarket64.4¢$730.1¢Thin
South Dakota Senate margin of victoryRounds, 17+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202757%—Kalshi61¢$727¢Thin
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?September 30PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20261%—Polymarket0.6¢$720.1¢Thin
Virginia's 6th District margin of victoryCline, 3+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202790%—Kalshi94.4¢$729¢Thin
CA-40 House winner?Ken CalvertPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202769%—Kalshi72¢$727¢Thin
North Carolina Senate General Election: voter turnoutAbove 4.30MPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202732%—Kalshi35¢$727¢Thin
NC-07 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 0-3%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202628%—Polymarket29¢$721¢Thin
IL-03 House Election WinnerDelia Ramirez (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202698%—Polymarket97.9¢$710.1¢Thin
Will the U.S.–Saudi nuclear cooperation agreement enter into force?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202613%—Kalshi15¢$714¢Thin
IN-02 House Election WinnerRudy Yakym (R)PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202696%—Polymarket96.9¢$710.9¢Thin
NY-22 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 25-30%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202619%—Polymarket22¢$716¢Thin
Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election winner?Kyle CampbellPoliticsEnds Sep 14, 202799%——$70—Thin
IL-04 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 30-35%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202633%—Polymarket33¢$701¢Thin
CA-39 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 0-5%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202639%—Polymarket73¢$7069¢Thin
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?December 31PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20261%—Polymarket1.4¢$700.1¢Thin
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Michigan?8PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202642%—Polymarket42¢$701¢Thin
PA-01 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 12%+PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202628%—Polymarket56.2¢$7055¢Thin
Illinois's 12th District margin of victoryBost, 47+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202716%—Kalshi19¢$707¢Thin
Texas's 14th District margin of victoryWeber, 20+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202743%—Kalshi46¢$706¢Thin
NJ-09 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 20-25%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202631%—Polymarket31¢$701¢Thin
Dems' best tossup Senate race?MichiganPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202641%—Polymarket43¢$704¢Thin
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