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Politics

6,637 events across Kalshi and Polymarket, most traded first.

KalshiPolymarketOn both venues
MarketChance24hBest priceVol 24hSpread
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?December 31PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20261%—Polymarket1.4¢$700.1¢Thin
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Michigan?8PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202642%—Polymarket42¢$701¢Thin
PA-01 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 9-12%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202635%—Polymarket35¢$70—Thin
Illinois's 12th District margin of victoryBost, 47+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202716%—Kalshi19¢$707¢Thin
Texas's 14th District margin of victoryWeber, 20+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202743%—Kalshi46¢$706¢Thin
NJ-09 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 20-25%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202631%—Polymarket31¢$701¢Thin
TX-10 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 0-5%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202623%—Polymarket26¢$707¢Thin
Dems' best tossup Senate race?MichiganPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202641%—Polymarket43¢$704¢Thin
PA-05 House Election WinnerMary Gay Scanlon (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202699%—Polymarket99.7¢$702¢Thin
China x India military clash by...?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20267%—Polymarket7¢$701¢Thin
Maranhão Governor Election WinnerEduardo BraidePoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202677%—Polymarket77¢$701¢Thin
OK-02 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 45-50%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202628%—Polymarket29¢$702¢Thin
Pennsylvania Governor Election: Turnout5M-5.5MPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202645%—Polymarket46¢$702¢Thin
TX-03 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 15-20%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202620%—Polymarket21¢$703¢Thin
Roraima Senate Election: 1st PlaceTeresa SuritaPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202659%—Polymarket67¢$7017¢Thin
MD-04 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 80-85%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202633%—Polymarket38¢$6911¢Thin
Fukushima Governor Election WinnerMasao UchiboriPoliticsEnds Oct 25, 202699%—Polymarket99.4¢$690.1¢Thin
California Expedited Environmental Review PropositionPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202653%—Polymarket56¢$696¢Thin
OR-05 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 15-20%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202618%—Polymarket18¢$691¢Thin
Which agencies will Trump eliminate?USAIDPoliticsEnds Jan 20, 202921%—Kalshi23¢$694¢
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to BSW or Grüne?PoliticsEnds Sep 20, 202629%—Polymarket36¢$6914¢Thin
New Hampshire Senate and Governor ComboReps win Gov, Dems win SenatePoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202677%—Polymarket77¢$681¢Thin
Which bills will become law in 2026?Critical-minerals stockpilePoliticsEnds Dec 30, 202612%—Polymarket19¢$6815¢Thin
VA-05 House Election WinnerJohn McGuire (R)PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202684%—Polymarket84¢$681¢Thin
CO-08 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 6-9%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202632%—Polymarket33¢$683¢Thin
OR-03 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 50-55%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202623%—Polymarket24¢$682¢Thin
Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?Clarence ThomasPoliticsEnds Jan 20, 202948%—Kalshi49¢$683¢Thin
VA-04 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 40-45%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202632%—Polymarket32¢$671¢Thin
Minnesota's 1st District margin of victoryJohnson, 2+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202716%—Kalshi19¢$677¢Thin
Mato Grosso do Sul Senate Election: 2nd PlaceCapitão ContarPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202657%—Polymarket60¢$675¢Thin
IN-01 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 25-30%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202628%—Polymarket30¢$674¢Thin
FL-28 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 15-20%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202632%—Polymarket32¢$671¢Thin
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202616%—Polymarket17¢$662¢Thin
West Virginia's 2nd District margin of victoryMoore, 36+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202727%—Kalshi31¢$668¢Thin
Illinois Governor Election WinnerJB Pritzker (D)Politics99%—Polymarket99.6¢$662¢Thin
Illinois Governor winner?JB PritzkerPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202795%—Kalshi95.5¢$660.9¢
French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd PlaceOlivier FaurePoliticsEnds Oct 10, 202667%—Polymarket73¢$6613¢Thin
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of VictoryLula da Silva, 0-5%PoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202746%—Kalshi47¢$663¢Thin
Amazonas Governor Election WinnerOmar AzizPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202654%—Polymarket58¢$668¢Thin
Netanyahu convicted in corruption trial?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202722%—Polymarket39¢$6535¢Thin
Košice Region Governor Election WinnerRastislav TrnkaPoliticsEnds Oct 24, 202662%—Polymarket64¢$655¢Thin
Huancayo Mayoral Election WinnerEmerson Nolasco DelgadoPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202637%—Polymarket37¢$651¢Thin
Georgia Lieutenant Governor winner?Greg DolezalPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202753%—Kalshi56¢$656¢Thin
Union Centriste Seat Count after French Senate Election?62-64PoliticsEnds Oct 31, 202634%—Polymarket37.4¢$647¢Thin
New Mexico Senate Election: Turnout750K-800KPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202643%—Polymarket43¢$641¢Thin
Israel Election: RZP-Zehut # of seats?6-7PoliticsEnds Nov 30, 202646%—Polymarket62¢$6433¢Thin
Louisiana Senate General Election: voter turnoutAbove 1.49MPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202723%—Kalshi26¢$647¢Thin
Modi out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 30, 20266%—Polymarket6.8¢$642¢Thin
Tongatapu 2 By-Election WinnerSione Harvard TupouniuaPoliticsEnds Oct 8, 202626%—Polymarket50¢$6449¢Thin
Texas Senate election: James Talarico vote percentAt least 56%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 20276%—Kalshi6¢$64—Thin
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