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Politics

6,653 events across Kalshi and Polymarket, most traded first.

KalshiPolymarketOn both venues
MarketChance24hBest priceVol 24hSpread
IN-05 House winner?Victoria SpartzPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202785%—Kalshi86¢$242¢Thin
Will Mamdani endorse outside of New York?Before Nov 3, 2026PoliticsEnds Sep 15, 202632%—Kalshi35¢$247¢Thin
Xi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by...?December 31PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202692%—Polymarket92.2¢$241¢Thin
Renan Santos participates in debate before first round?PoliticsEnds Oct 3, 202697%—Polymarket98.7¢$244¢Thin
New Zealand Election: 3rd PlaceGreen PartyPoliticsEnds Nov 6, 202646%—Polymarket47¢$243¢Thin
Who will run for public office in 2026?Casey DeSantisPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 20263%—Kalshi4¢$243¢Thin
FL-10 House Election WinnerMaxwell Frost (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202698%—Polymarket97.9¢$240.8¢Thin
Florida Governor margin of victoryJolly, 3+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202710%—Kalshi12¢$245¢Thin
Idaho Governor Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 20-25%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202619%—Polymarket19¢$231¢Thin
Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats WonPLPoliticsEnds Oct 3, 202684%—Polymarket85¢$233¢Thin
Wyoming Senate Election WinnerHarriet Hageman (R)Politics96%—Polymarket97¢$231¢Thin
Which companies will sign a Venezuelan oil agreement?ExxonMobilPoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202624%—Kalshi28¢$238¢Thin
What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term?6 Conservatives and 3 LiberalsPoliticsEnds Jan 20, 202971%—Kalshi74¢$236¢Thin
Indiana Senate winner? (2028)Republican partyPoliticsEnds Nov 7, 202988%—Kalshi91.4¢$236¢Thin
NY-14 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 35-40%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202632%—Polymarket47¢$2331¢Thin
Which Senators will vote for Kari Lake?Mitch McConnellPoliticsEnds Jan 1, 202826%—Kalshi41¢$2331¢Thin
Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202714%—Polymarket16¢$234¢Thin
Comprehensive federal AI legislation in 2026?PoliticsEnds Jan 1, 202714%—Kalshi17¢$226¢Thin
Brampton, ON Mayoral Election WinnerPatrick BrownPoliticsEnds Oct 25, 202651%—Polymarket89.7¢$2277¢Thin
Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)Rahm EmanuelPoliticsEnds Oct 31, 202828%—Kalshi32¢$228¢Thin
New Mexico Governor winner?Deb HaalandPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202794%—Kalshi94.7¢$222¢Thin
PA-08 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 9-12%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202622%—Polymarket22¢$221¢Thin
Will Max Miller leave the House before the midterms?PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 20267%—Kalshi8¢$222¢
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202610%—Polymarket12¢$224¢Thin
Montana Senate General Election: voter turnoutAbove 560KPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202719%—Kalshi22¢$227¢Thin
Nigerian Senate election winner?APCPoliticsEnds Feb 28, 202885%—Kalshi89¢$228¢Thin
Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?PoliticsEnds Jan 20, 202919%—Kalshi21¢$224¢
USMCA extended in 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202610%—Polymarket11¢$222¢Thin
Mississippi Senate Election WinnerCindy Hyde-Smith (R)Politics94%—Polymarket94¢$211¢Thin
Will Russia enter Borova by...?PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20267%—Polymarket6.9¢$210.1¢Thin
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202613%—Polymarket13¢$211¢Thin
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?PoliticsEnds Oct 31, 202626%—Polymarket31¢$2111¢Thin
Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?September 30PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20261%—Polymarket1.1¢$210.1¢Thin
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?VAT federal decreePoliticsEnds Nov 28, 202664%—Polymarket72¢$2116¢Thin
NC-02 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 55%+PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202620%—Polymarket23¢$216¢Thin
NC-04 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 0-20%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202616%—Polymarket16¢$211¢Thin
LA-01 House Election WinnerRepublican PartyPoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202696%—Polymarket97.1¢$212¢Thin
LA-06 House Election WinnerRepublican PartyPoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202694%—Polymarket95¢$212¢Thin
Nevada Governor Election: Clark County WinnerAaron Ford (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202688%—Polymarket88¢$211¢Thin
OR-05 House winner?Janelle BynumPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202796%—Kalshi96¢$210.6¢Thin
Canada admitted to the EU before 2029?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20287%—Polymarket7¢$211¢Thin
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by...?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202629%—Polymarket32¢$216¢Thin
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by...?PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20262%—Polymarket2.1¢$210.1¢Thin
Next Mayor of Buffalo City (East London)?Princess FakuPoliticsEnds Nov 4, 202667%—Polymarket72¢$2111¢Thin
Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election WinnerIsabelle BlaisPoliticsEnds Oct 5, 202659%—Polymarket66¢$2115¢Thin
Michigan's 8th District margin of victoryRivet, 14+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202762%—Kalshi65¢$217¢Thin
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by...?September 30PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20263%—Polymarket3.4¢$210.1¢Thin
OH-15 House winner?Mike CareyPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202778%—Kalshi78¢$211¢Thin
Iowa Senate margin of victoryHinson, 2+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202754%—Kalshi54¢$211¢Thin
Will Russia enter Havrylivka by...?PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20263%—Polymarket3.1¢$200.1¢Thin
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