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Politics

6,652 events across Kalshi and Polymarket, most traded first.

KalshiPolymarketOn both venues
MarketChance24hBest priceVol 24hSpread
FL-16 House winner?Sydney GrutersPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202783%—Kalshi84¢$203¢Thin
IL-12 House Election WinnerMike Bost (R)PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202696%—Polymarket97.1¢$202¢Thin
Michigan Secretary of State Election WinnerGarlin Gilchrist (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202684%—Polymarket84¢$201¢Thin
NC-10 House Election WinnerPat Harrigan (R)PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202695%—Polymarket95¢$201¢Thin
Netanyahu arrested by…?December 31PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20267%—Polymarket7¢$201¢Thin
PA-05 House Election WinnerMary Gay Scanlon (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202699%—Polymarket99.7¢$202¢Thin
PA-09 House Election WinnerDan Meuser (R)PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202697%—Polymarket98.3¢$204¢Thin
Tennessee Governor Election WinnerMarsha Blackburn (R)Politics96%—Polymarket97.1¢$203¢Thin
Texas Senate Election: Tarrant County WinnerJames Talarico (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202691%—Polymarket92¢$203¢Thin
Trenčín Region Governor Election WinnerJaroslav BaškaPoliticsEnds Oct 24, 202694%—Polymarket95.1¢$202¢Thin
Trump announces Canada tariff increase by...?September 30PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202612%—Polymarket13¢$203¢Thin
West Virginia Senate Election WinnerShelley Moore Capito (R)Politics97%—Polymarket97.8¢$202¢Thin
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202624%—Polymarket27¢$207¢Thin
Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?PoliticsEnds Jan 30, 202613%—Polymarket20¢$2015¢Thin
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?PoliticsEnds Dec 30, 202624%—Polymarket31¢$2015¢Thin
Trump calls Nicki Minaj hot again in 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20269%—Polymarket11¢$204¢Thin
US strike on Mexico by...?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20268%—Polymarket8¢$201¢Thin
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?PoliticsEnds Oct 31, 20266%—Polymarket7.4¢$203¢Thin
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?PoliticsEnds Oct 31, 20262%—Polymarket3.4¢$202¢Thin
MI-04 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 12%+PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202614%—Polymarket15¢$203¢Thin
Maryland Governor Election WinnerWes Moore (D)Politics96%—Polymarket96.3¢$200.4¢Thin
PA-11 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 10-15%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202632%—Polymarket32¢$201¢Thin
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20265%—Polymarket5.3¢$201¢Thin
NE-03 House Election WinnerAdrian Smith (R)PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202697%—Polymarket98.6¢$193¢Thin
MS-04 House Election WinnerMike Ezell (R)PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202698%—Polymarket98.4¢$192¢Thin
Number of Republican governors after the midterms?At least 24PoliticsEnds Feb 1, 202754%—Kalshi57¢$196¢Thin
How many seats will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win in the next Russian legislative election?<45PoliticsEnds Sep 20, 202695%—Polymarket96.8¢$193¢Thin
Kingston, ON Mayoral Election WinnerBryan PatersonPoliticsEnds Oct 25, 202691%—Polymarket91¢$191¢Thin
Michigan Senate margin of victoryRogers, 5+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202712%—Kalshi14¢$194¢Thin
South Carolina Senate winner? (2028)Republican partyPoliticsEnds Nov 7, 202979%—Kalshi83¢$198¢Thin
Coquitlam, BC Mayoral Election WinnerCraig HodgePoliticsEnds Oct 16, 202676%—Polymarket79¢$197¢Thin
South Dakota Governor Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 15-20%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202616%—Polymarket16¢$191¢Thin
WI-07 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 10-15%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202621%—Polymarket22¢$193¢Thin
Poland general election winner?Civic CoalitionPoliticsEnds Nov 10, 202851%—Kalshi54¢$197¢Thin
CA-48 House Election WinnerMarni von Wilpert (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202689%—Polymarket89¢$191¢Thin
San Luis Potosí Governor Election WinnerRuth González SilvaPoliticsEnds Jun 6, 202762%—Polymarket64¢$195¢Thin
NY-02 House winner?Andrew GarbarinoPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202788%—Kalshi90.4¢$195¢Thin
TX-27 House Election WinnerMichael Cloud (R)PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202691%—Polymarket91.8¢$190.7¢Thin
Cusco Mayoral Election WinnerAlbert Aníbal Arenas YabarPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202634%—Polymarket34¢$191¢Thin
Will Russia enter Khatnie by...?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202639%—Polymarket46¢$1815¢Thin
Courts consider Amazon a monopoly?PoliticsEnds Jan 1, 203044%—Kalshi47¢$186¢Thin
MA-03 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 35-40%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202639%—Polymarket39¢$181¢Thin
2028 House winnerDemocratic partyPoliticsEnds Feb 1, 202974%—Kalshi75¢$183¢Thin
FL-02 House Election WinnerAustin Rogers (R)PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202690%—Polymarket90¢$181¢Thin
Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20256%—Polymarket6¢$181¢Thin
IN-05 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 15-18%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202619%—Polymarket19¢$181¢Thin
TX-34 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 6-9%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202619%—Polymarket20¢$182¢Thin
Košice Mayoral Election WinnerLadislav LörincPoliticsEnds Oct 24, 202650%—Polymarket52¢$184¢Thin
Kentucky Governor Election Winner (2027)RepublicanPoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202783%—Polymarket84¢$183¢Thin
Texas Governor Election Margin of VictoryAbbott 3-6%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202622%—Polymarket22¢$181¢Thin
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