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Politics

6,648 events across Kalshi and Polymarket, most traded first.

KalshiPolymarketOn both venues
MarketChance24hBest priceVol 24hSpread
WA-09 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 50-55%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202637%—Polymarket72¢$670¢Thin
Hannover mayoral election winner?GreensPoliticsEnds Sep 13, 202790%—Kalshi97¢$614¢Thin
Tallahassee Mayoral Election WinnerJeremy MatlowPoliticsEnds Aug 18, 202647%—Polymarket48.9¢$64¢Thin
WA-09 House Election WinnerAdam Smith (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202696%—Polymarket97.8¢$63¢Thin
Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202620%—Polymarket24¢$69¢Thin
Toronto mayoral election winner?Olivia ChowPoliticsEnds Oct 26, 202789%—Kalshi90.8¢$63¢Thin
Will Mamdani open a city-owned grocery store before 2028?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202779%—Kalshi80¢$63¢Thin
Minnesota Governor election: Amy Klobuchar vote percentAt least 56%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202743%—Kalshi47¢$69¢Thin
Illinois Senate winner? (2028)Democratic partyPoliticsEnds Nov 7, 202995%—Kalshi96¢$63¢Thin
Alabama Senate winner?Barry MoorePoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202797%—Kalshi98¢$62¢Thin
Next Prime Minister of Morocco? (Invested)Mohamed ChaoukiPoliticsEnds Sep 23, 202628%—Polymarket30¢$63¢Thin
Ken Martin out as DNC chair?Before Jan 1, 2027PoliticsEnds Jul 31, 202627%—Kalshi30¢$66¢Thin
Michigan Senate election: Abdul El-Sayed vote percentAt least 50%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202744%—Kalshi48¢$68¢Thin
IL-15 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 35-40%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202630%—Polymarket31¢$62¢Thin
CA-30 House Election WinnerLaura Friedman (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202696%—Polymarket97.1¢$63¢Thin
CA-30 House winner?Laura FriedmanPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202793%—Kalshi96.4¢$66¢Thin
FL-23 House winner?Lois FrankelPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202794%—Kalshi95.9¢$63¢Thin
Georgia Senate winner? (2028)Democratic partyPoliticsEnds Nov 7, 202968%—Kalshi69¢$63¢Thin
North Dakota Senate winner? (2028)Republican partyPoliticsEnds Nov 7, 202986%—Kalshi87¢$63¢Thin
Will Trump impose capital controls?PoliticsEnds Jan 20, 202920%—Kalshi22¢$65¢Thin
Pennsylvania Governor Election WinnerJosh Shapiro (D)Politics97%—Polymarket98¢$63¢Thin
Fed abolished before 2027?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20262%—Polymarket1.6¢$60.1¢Thin
MAGA Inc. Cash on Hand (End of Q3)Above $350MPoliticsEnds Oct 21, 202684%—Kalshi86¢$65¢Thin
Another Canada election called by...?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20265%—Polymarket6¢$63¢Thin
Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202611%—Polymarket12¢$62¢Thin
Will Kanye West / Ye visit Israel this year?PoliticsEnds Jan 1, 202710%—Kalshi13¢$57¢Thin
Will a new Constitutional Amendment be added during Trump's term?PoliticsEnds Jan 20, 20298%—Kalshi8.9¢$51¢Thin
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202615%—Polymarket18¢$56¢Thin
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?PoliticsEnds Jan 1, 20277%—Kalshi8¢$52¢Thin
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20265%—Polymarket5¢$51¢Thin
Will the House vote on a resolution to expel Cory Mills?Before Nov 3, 2026PoliticsEnds Aug 1, 202610%—Kalshi12¢$54¢Thin
Bosniak member of the Presidency winner?Denis BecirovicPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202771%—Kalshi73¢$55¢Thin
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by...?PoliticsEnds Oct 31, 202623%—Polymarket25¢$55¢Thin
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20261%—Polymarket0.9¢$50.1¢Thin
Brazil presidential election: 4th place (1st round)Renan SantosPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202743%—Kalshi44¢$52¢Thin
GA-04 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)Democrat 55-60%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202637%—Polymarket38¢$52¢Thin
Quebec general election: PLQ number of seats?28 or morePoliticsEnds Oct 5, 202774%—Kalshi76¢$55¢Thin
Which member of Congress will have the biggest returns in 2025?Roger WilliamsPoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202647%—Kalshi84¢$575¢Thin
Which Senators will vote for Heidi Overton?Bill CassidyPoliticsEnds Jan 1, 202818%—Kalshi18¢$51¢Thin
NY-09 House election: Yvette Clarke vote percentAt least 74%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202777%—Kalshi81¢$59¢Thin
Florida's 23rd District margin of victoryFrankel, 20+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202784%—Kalshi94.8¢$522¢Thin
Tver Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerUnited RussiaPoliticsEnds Sep 20, 202693%—Polymarket96.8¢$58¢Thin
US Trade Deficit in 2026?800–900BPoliticsEnds Feb 27, 202737%—Polymarket50¢$526¢Thin
VA-01 House election: Rob Wittman vote percentAt least 48%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202771%—Kalshi75¢$59¢Thin
Wisconsin Governor margin of victoryCrowley, 7+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202736%—Kalshi37¢$52¢Thin
How many Republican senators will lose reelection in 2026?5 or morePoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202653%—Kalshi55¢$55¢Thin
Ilie Bolojan out as Prime Minister of Romania?Before Oct 1, 2026PoliticsEnds Jul 31, 20269%—Kalshi11¢$55¢Thin
Will Trump reverse the Lake America renaming?Before Nov 1, 2026PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20264%—Kalshi4¢$51¢Thin
FL-09 House winner?Dan GreenPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202765%—Kalshi67¢$54¢Thin
NY-08 House Election WinnerHakeem Jeffries (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202697%—Polymarket98.6¢$54¢Thin
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