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KalshiPolymarketOn both venues
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Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)AnthropicTech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202695%—Polymarket96¢$144
Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202624%—Kalshi26¢$141
Most popular AI this weekGoogleTech & ScienceEnds Sep 20, 202699%—Kalshi99¢$136
#1 Searched Movie on Google 2026?The OdysseyTech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202642%—Polymarket42¢$131
GPU rental prices (H200) end of September?$5.00-$5.50Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202627%—Polymarket28¢$130
Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by...?October 31Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202693%—Polymarket96¢$119
Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?WashUTech & ScienceEnds Jan 1, 202857%—Kalshi59¢$118
How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?Above 0Tech & ScienceEnds Jan 1, 202712%—Kalshi13¢$107
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?ChinaTech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 20267%—Kalshi8¢$106
Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 20263%—Kalshi3.7¢$105
Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?United StatesTech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 20264%—Kalshi4¢$102
xAI corporate adoption rate in SeptemberAbove 5%Tech & ScienceEnds Oct 16, 202650%—Kalshi52¢$96
Astra removed from public access by...?September 30Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 20264%—Polymarket5.9¢$95
SpaceX Starship 14th launch?Before Oct 16, 2026Tech & ScienceEnds Aug 20, 202696%—Kalshi98¢$89
Claude 6 released by...?March 31, 2027Tech & ScienceEnds Mar 31, 202747%—Polymarket53¢$88
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 20267%—Kalshi8.2¢$77
Tesla Roadster delivered by...?December 31, 2027Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202638%—Polymarket38¢$77
Tristan Buckmaster sues OpenAI by...?September 30, 2026Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 20264%—Polymarket5.8¢$75
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?BYDTech & ScienceEnds Jun 30, 202714%—Polymarket15¢$70
Top 5 Most Searched Movies on Google 2026ObsessionTech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202683%—Polymarket86¢$66
When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?Before 2027Tech & ScienceEnds Aug 1, 202610%—Kalshi11¢$66
Will there be a case of polio in the USA this year?Tech & ScienceEnds Jan 31, 20278%—Kalshi10¢$64
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?ChatGPTTech & ScienceEnds Jan 1, 202710%—Kalshi10¢$63
Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?ByteDanceTech & ScienceEnds Jun 30, 202717%—Polymarket17¢$62
OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?September 23, 2026Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 23, 202625%—Polymarket42¢$61
Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows on Google 2026Stranger ThingsTech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202653%—Polymarket53¢$59
Top 5 Most Searched Actors on Google 2026Tom HollandTech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202659%—Polymarket62¢$59
Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?1575Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202649%—Polymarket50¢$59
#1 Searched Actor on Google 2026?Inde NavarretteTech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202636%—Polymarket37¢$58
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?GoogleTech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202676%—Polymarket76¢$58
Pandemic in 2026?Tech & ScienceEnds Jan 1, 20276%—Kalshi6¢$57
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?AnthropicTech & ScienceEnds Oct 31, 202682%—Polymarket82¢$57
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?OpenAITech & ScienceEnds Oct 31, 202656%—Polymarket56.2¢$56
Longest GitHub critical incident in September?3-6 hoursTech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202638%—Polymarket39¢$54
Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?45%+Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202680%—Polymarket80.2¢$52
#2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?HotSchedulesTech & ScienceEnds Sep 18, 202690%—Polymarket90¢$45
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?AlibabaTech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202655%—Polymarket57¢$43
When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?Before 2027Tech & ScienceEnds Jul 31, 202616%—Kalshi17¢$41
GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ in 2026?↓ $3.00Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 30, 202657%—Polymarket72¢$40
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?ComputerTech & ScienceEnds Jan 1, 20277%—Kalshi10¢$39
Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?AnthropicTech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202691%—Polymarket92¢$38
GTA 6 launch postponed again?Tech & ScienceEnds Nov 18, 20267%—Polymarket7¢$38
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?MoonshotTech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202667%—Polymarket69¢$38
Critical Discord Incident by...?Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202612%—Polymarket16¢$36
When will Virgin Galactic launch their next commercial Delta-class SpaceShipBefore 2027Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202636%—Kalshi40¢$35
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?1470+Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202647%—Polymarket48¢$35
GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?$1.00-$1.25Tech & ScienceEnds Oct 31, 202647%—Polymarket47¢$35
Frontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026?Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202625%—Polymarket28¢$33
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of September?$0.60+Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202682%—Polymarket82¢$32
Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?Above 8kTech & ScienceEnds Jan 1, 202799%—Kalshi99¢$30
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