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Politics

6,647 events

KalshiPolymarketOn both venues
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Iowa Senate winner?Ashley HinsonPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202761%−1¢Kalshi61¢$25.5K
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceFlávio BolsonaroPoliticsEnds Oct 3, 202678%0¢Polymarket78¢$24.9K
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?September 30PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20261%+1¢Polymarket0.9¢$24.9K
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20267%+1¢Polymarket7¢$23.8K
How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (9/13-9/19)At least 5PoliticsEnds Sep 20, 202699%——$23.8K
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20)Above 100PoliticsEnds Sep 22, 20262%0¢Kalshi2¢$23.2K
Presidential Election Winner 2028JD VancePoliticsEnds Nov 6, 202822%−1¢Polymarket22.1¢$23.1K
Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Vote Share?18-20%PoliticsEnds Sep 12, 2026>99%+6¢Polymarket99.8¢$23K
Who will be Latvia’s Prime Minister after the election?Andris KulbergsPoliticsEnds Oct 3, 202778%—Kalshi78¢$22K
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20261%0¢Polymarket0.8¢$19.8K
Nebraska Senate winner?Pete RickettsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202768%−3¢Kalshi68¢$19.7K
Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Sep 18, 2026?James TalaricoPoliticsEnds Sep 18, 202690%+7¢Kalshi91¢$19.4K
Maine Senate Election WinnerTroy Jackson (D)Politics71%0¢Polymarket71¢$18.7K
Putin out as President of Russia by...?September 30, 2026PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20261%0¢Polymarket0.6¢$18.6K
Bulgaria Presidential ElectionIliana IotovaPoliticsEnds Nov 29, 202677%+8¢Polymarket77¢$18.5K
Crude Oil all time high by...?September 30PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20261%−1¢Polymarket1.4¢$18.2K
Elon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?200-219PoliticsStarts Fri, Sep 18, 12:00 PM ET19%—Polymarket19¢$17K
Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?Kevin WarshPoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202611%−16¢Polymarket13¢$16.7K
Michigan Senate Election WinnerAbdul El-Sayed (D)Politics67%+5¢Polymarket67¢$16.3K
Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?PoliticsEnds Jan 1, 20277%−5¢Kalshi7.3¢$15.8K
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?September 30PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20263%+1¢Polymarket3.8¢$14.9K
Trump's approval rating on Sep 18, 2026?39.7 to 39.9PoliticsEnds Sep 18, 202635%—Kalshi36¢$14.8K
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?December 31PoliticsEnds Oct 31, 202614%+1¢Polymarket15¢$14.3K
Sweden Parliamentary Election: 6th PlaceChristian Democrats (KD)PoliticsEnds Sep 12, 202699%+17¢Polymarket99.5¢$13.9K
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?Pete HegsethPoliticsEnds Aug 10, 202629%0¢Kalshi30¢$13.8K
Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?Before 2027PoliticsEnds Jan 1, 20274%−1¢Kalshi3.9¢$13.6K
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election WinnerAfDPoliticsEnds Sep 19, 202678%−6¢Polymarket78¢$13.6K
California Governor winner? (Person)Xavier BecerraPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202796%0¢Kalshi95.9¢$13.6K
Texas Railroad Commissioner winnerBo FrenchPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202752%−2¢Kalshi52¢$13.1K
New York Governor winner?Kathy HochulPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202792%0¢Kalshi92.3¢$12.6K
Blue wave in 2026?PoliticsEnds Feb 1, 202780%+4¢Kalshi80¢$12.4K
Will a Russian sanctions bill become law?Before Jan 1, 2027PoliticsEnds Sep 1, 202698%+8¢Kalshi99.9¢$12.1K
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Alexandria Ocasio-CortezPoliticsEnds Nov 6, 202818%—Polymarket18.3¢$11.7K
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 17, 2026?Below 39.7%PoliticsEnds Sep 17, 202638%−58¢Kalshi41¢$11.5K
Which leaders will leave office in 2026?Emmanuel MacronPoliticsEnds Aug 7, 20263%0¢Kalshi4.2¢$11.3K
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?50PoliticsEnds Feb 1, 202716%—Kalshi16¢$11.1K
Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd PlaceModerate Party (M)PoliticsEnds Sep 12, 2026>99%——$10.9K
Will the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed?Before 2027PoliticsEnds Sep 1, 202633%0¢Kalshi34¢$10.3K
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028J.D. VancePoliticsEnds Nov 6, 202851%0¢Polymarket51.3¢$10.1K
Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?Before Oct 1, 2026PoliticsEnds Oct 1, 202694%−2¢Kalshi94¢$10K
Brazil Presidential election winner?Flávio BolsonaroPoliticsEnds Oct 25, 202755%0¢Kalshi55¢$9.7K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?PoliticsEnds Sep 14, 2026<1%0¢Polymarket0.1¢$9.2K
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?0 (0 bps)PoliticsEnds Dec 30, 202695%+1¢Polymarket94.9¢$8.6K
Maine-Texas Senate ComboJames Talarico and Troy JacksonPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202748%+4¢Kalshi49¢$8.2K
Trump Truth Social posts this week? (9/13-9/19)100-119PoliticsEnds Sep 20, 202620%—Kalshi22¢$8.2K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsEnds Sep 29, 20261%0¢Polymarket1.4¢$7.9K
How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection in 2026?Exactly 0PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202691%+3¢Kalshi91¢$7.9K
Los Angeles Mayoral ElectionKaren BassPoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202665%0¢Polymarket65¢$7.9K
Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?KramatorskPoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202621%−7¢Polymarket22¢$7.9K
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?PoliticsEnds Dec 30, 202626%+2¢Polymarket26¢$7.4K
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