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Politics

6,638 events across Kalshi and Polymarket, most traded first.

KalshiPolymarketOn both venues
MarketChance24hBest priceVol 24hSpread
Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela?Before Oct 1, 2026PoliticsEnds Aug 1, 202610%—Kalshi12¢$1865¢Thin
Israel Election: Otzma # of seats?6-7PoliticsEnds Nov 30, 202633%—Polymarket37¢$1869¢Thin
Berlin State Elections: Linke # of seats?35-39PoliticsEnds Sep 20, 202635%—Polymarket39¢$1868¢Thin
TX-11 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 25-30%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202635%—Polymarket36.8¢$1854¢Thin
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by...?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202630%—Polymarket30¢$1851¢Thin
Kansas Senate margin of victoryMarshall, 3+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202766%—Kalshi67¢$1842¢Thin
Wyoming Senate General Election: voter turnoutAbove 250KPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202712%—Kalshi13¢$1843¢Thin
Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?PSD + PNL + UDMRPoliticsEnds May 30, 202618%—Polymarket21.7¢$1838¢Thin
Will John Thune run for reelection?PoliticsEnds Mar 28, 202873%—Kalshi74¢$1833¢Thin
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (9/14 - 9/20)Above 200PoliticsEnds Sep 22, 202665%—Kalshi65¢$1821¢Thin
Will Trump run for a third term?Before 2027PoliticsEnds Jan 1, 20276%—Kalshi6.5¢$1822¢Thin
Next President of Kosovo?Bekim SejdiuPoliticsEnds Apr 30, 202728%—Polymarket37¢$18119¢Thin
Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?National + ACT + NZFPoliticsEnds Nov 6, 202645%—Polymarket47¢$1805¢Thin
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?PoliticsEnds Oct 7, 20261%—Polymarket1.9¢$1801¢Thin
Will the US House pass a bill restricting military aid to Israel by September 30?PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20263%—Polymarket4¢$1793¢Thin
Texas Lieutenant Governor Election WinnerDan Patrick (R)PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202680%—Polymarket81¢$1792¢Thin
Will Mamdani raise property taxes?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202614%—Kalshi15¢$1793¢Thin
Will Russia enter Moskovka by...?September 30PoliticsEnds Sep 29, 202617%—Polymarket19¢$1784¢Thin
Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st PlaceMarília CamposPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202660%—Polymarket68¢$17817¢Thin
CO-06 House Election WinnerJason Crow (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202695%—Polymarket95¢$1781¢Thin
CT-04 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 25-30%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202623%—Polymarket24¢$1772¢Thin
Will Trump try to leave the USMCA?PoliticsEnds Jan 1, 202720%—Kalshi23¢$1776¢Thin
Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?Ulrich SiegmundPoliticsEnds Oct 6, 202757%—Kalshi75¢$17536¢Thin
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20261%—Polymarket1.4¢$1730.4¢Thin
2026: Trump's bad year?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202710%—Kalshi11¢$1722¢
WI-01 House winner?Bryan SteilPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202767%—Kalshi68¢$1722¢Thin
Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic party?Before Jan 1, 2028PoliticsEnds Aug 1, 202647%—Kalshi48¢$1713¢Thin
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by...?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202612%—Polymarket13¢$1713¢Thin
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20262%—Polymarket1.9¢$1700.2¢Thin
AL-02 House winner?Rhett MarquesPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202769%—Kalshi69¢$1701¢
Rio Grande do Norte Governor winner?AllysonPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202766%—Kalshi68¢$1695¢Thin
Nevada Governor Election WinnerJoe Lombardo (R)Politics54%—Polymarket55¢$1692¢Thin
Weed rescheduled by...?December 31PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202616%—Polymarket17.1¢$1692¢Thin
CA-06 House winner?Richard PanPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202795%—Kalshi96.5¢$1683¢Thin
Israel Election: The Joint List vote share?6.5-7.5%PoliticsEnds Nov 30, 202643%—Polymarket47¢$1688¢Thin
NY-04 House winner?Laura GillenPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202793%—Kalshi94.9¢$1674¢Thin
Tallahassee Mayoral ElectionLoranne AusleyPoliticsEnds Aug 22, 202652%—Kalshi54¢$1665¢Thin
Arizona State Senate winner?Democratic partyPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202752%—Kalshi55¢$1666¢Thin
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20264%—Polymarket4¢$1650.1¢Thin
Latvian Parliamentary Election: 2nd PlaceSVPoliticsEnds Oct 3, 202643%—Polymarket47¢$1658¢Thin
Natalie Harp White House departure announced?Before Nov 1, 2026PoliticsEnds Aug 31, 20268%—Kalshi10¢$1655¢Thin
2028 Presidential matchupAOC v. JD VancePoliticsEnds Nov 7, 202814%—Kalshi16¢$1653¢Thin
West Virginia Senate Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 30-35%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202629%—Polymarket30¢$1642¢Thin
NY-21 House election: Blake Gendebien vote percentAt least 44%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202769%—Kalshi85¢$16233¢Thin
Mississippi Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)800K-900KPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202645%—Polymarket47¢$1624¢Thin
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202643%—Polymarket46¢$1626¢Thin
Russia nuclear test by...?September 30, 2026PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20261%—Polymarket1.4¢$1620.6¢Thin
OH-12 House winner?Troy BaldersonPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202793%—Kalshi96.5¢$1616¢Thin
New Mexico Governor margin of victoryHaaland, 10+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202760%—Kalshi61¢$1603¢Thin
Andrew Tate released from custody by...?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20269%—Polymarket9¢$1591¢Thin
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