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Politics

6,631 events across Kalshi and Polymarket, most traded first.

KalshiPolymarketOn both venues
MarketChance24hBest priceVol 24hSpread
Will Nancy Pelosi resign her office before the midterms?PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 20263%—Kalshi3.5¢$1010.3¢
Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202611%—Polymarket12¢$1011¢Thin
Martin Mayoral Election WinnerJán DankoPoliticsEnds Oct 24, 202646%—Polymarket46¢$1011¢Thin
Israel Election: Dems # of seats?<8PoliticsEnds Nov 30, 202629%—Polymarket34¢$10110¢Thin
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20261%—Polymarket1.2¢$1000.6¢Thin
Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?December 31PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202614%—Polymarket14¢$1001¢Thin
Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?U.S.–Mexico interim agreementPoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202637%—Kalshi41¢$1008¢Thin
Oregon's 6th District margin of victorySalinas, 25+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202725%—Kalshi28¢$1007¢Thin
Who will be the next Secretary of the Army?Sean ParnellPoliticsEnds Jan 8, 203038%—Kalshi42¢$1009¢Thin
Acre Senate Election: 1st PlaceMarcio BittarPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202630%—Polymarket30¢$1001¢Thin
Oklahoma Senate Election: Turnout1.2M-1.3MPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202647%—Polymarket50¢$1006¢Thin
Quebec general election: 3rd placeCoalition avenir Québec (CAQ)PoliticsEnds Oct 5, 202741%—Kalshi44¢$1007¢Thin
When will Canada raise tariffs on the US?Before Jan 1, 2027PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202670%—Kalshi75¢$10010¢Thin
When will Dominic LeBlanc and Jamieson Greer meet?Before Oct 1, 2026PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202612%—Kalshi16¢$1008¢Thin
When will Trump, Zelenskyy and Putin meet together?Before Jan 1, 2027PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20264%—Kalshi6¢$1004¢Thin
AL-07 House Election WinnerTerri Sewell (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202699%—Polymarket99.2¢$1000.6¢Thin
CA-42 House Election WinnerRobert Garcia (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202695%—Polymarket95¢$1001¢Thin
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?October 31PoliticsEnds Oct 31, 20263%—Polymarket3.1¢$1000.1¢Thin
ID-02 House Election WinnerMike Simpson (R)PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202695%—Polymarket94.7¢$1000.1¢Thin
Midterms: which party wins white women?Democratic partyPoliticsEnds Nov 6, 202662%—Kalshi74¢$10024¢Thin
New York Attorney General winner?Letitia JamesPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202793%—Kalshi93.8¢$1003¢Thin
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?September 30PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20264%—Polymarket5.6¢$1004¢Thin
Berlin State Election: More Votes to Linke or SPD?PoliticsEnds Sep 20, 2026>99%—Polymarket99.9¢$1000.2¢Thin
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?PoliticsEnds Oct 31, 20263%—Polymarket3.3¢$1000.1¢Thin
Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202661%—Kalshi61¢$1001¢Thin
Banská Bystrica Mayoral Election WinnerJán NoskoPoliticsEnds Oct 24, 202661%—Polymarket65¢$1009¢Thin
Windsor, ON Mayoral Election WinnerDrew DilkensPoliticsEnds Oct 25, 202667%—Polymarket67¢$1001¢Thin
Trump publicly insults Warsh by...?November 30PoliticsEnds Oct 31, 202625%—Polymarket41¢$9933¢Thin
Which abortion-related measures will pass in 2026?Missouri Amendment 3PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202724%—Kalshi27¢$997¢Thin
Israel Election: Shas # of seats?8-9PoliticsEnds Nov 30, 202628%—Polymarket34¢$9913¢Thin
Iowa Attorney General Election WinnerBrenna Bird (R)PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202666%—Polymarket66¢$991¢Thin
How many House seats will the Democrats win in South Carolina?1PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202674%—Polymarket74¢$981¢Thin
CA-16 House Election WinnerSam Liccardo (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202696%—Polymarket97.7¢$983¢Thin
Hawaii Governor Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 30-35%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202633%—Polymarket35¢$984¢Thin
Will Iran hold a presidential election?PoliticsEnds Jan 1, 20274%—Kalshi6.9¢$986¢Thin
Roraima Senate Election: 2nd PlaceNicolettiPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202647%—Polymarket52.9¢$9812¢Thin
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?PoliticsEnds Jan 1, 202710%—Kalshi13¢$986¢Thin
Next Mayor of LiberecLukáš HájekPoliticsEnds Jun 30, 202748%—Polymarket56¢$9717¢Thin
Idaho Senate Election: Turnout600K-640KPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202651%—Polymarket52¢$973¢Thin
NJ-08 House winner?Rob MenendezPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202797%—Kalshi99.8¢$975¢Thin
Texas Railroad Commissioner Election WinnerJon Rosenthal (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202657%—Polymarket59¢$973¢Thin
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in BahiaLulaPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202698%—Polymarket99.3¢$962¢Thin
Launceston mayoral election winner?Matthew GarwoodPoliticsEnds Oct 27, 202754%—Kalshi54¢$961¢Thin
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20266%—Polymarket6¢$961¢Thin
MN-04 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 45-50%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202636%—Polymarket67.9¢$9665¢Thin
Illinois Senate Election: Turnout4.25M-4.5MPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202640%—Polymarket42¢$954¢Thin
Holborn and St Pancras by-election: Labour Party vote percentAt least 40%PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202742%—Kalshi46¢$958¢Thin
New York's 3rd District margin of victorySuozzi, 2+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202781%—Kalshi83¢$954¢Thin
CT-04 House winner?Jim HimesPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202797%—Kalshi99¢$955¢Thin
PA-01 House Election WinnerBrian Fitzpatrick (R)PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202655%—Polymarket58¢$956¢Thin
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