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Politics

6,644 events across Kalshi and Polymarket, most traded first.

KalshiPolymarketOn both venues
MarketChance24hBest priceVol 24hSpread
Netanyahu convicted in corruption trial?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202722%—Polymarket39¢$6535¢Thin
Košice Region Governor Election WinnerRastislav TrnkaPoliticsEnds Oct 24, 202663%—Polymarket64¢$653¢Thin
Huancayo Mayoral Election WinnerEmerson Nolasco DelgadoPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202637%—Polymarket37¢$651¢Thin
NY-07 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 40-45%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202622%—Polymarket22¢$651¢Thin
Côte-du-Sud Quebec National Assembly Election WinnerValérie HamelPoliticsEnds Oct 5, 202653%—Polymarket74¢$6542¢Thin
Georgia Lieutenant Governor winner?Greg DolezalPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202753%—Kalshi56¢$656¢Thin
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of VictoryDemocrats 8-10%PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202628%—Polymarket28¢$651¢Thin
Union Centriste Seat Count after French Senate Election?62-64PoliticsEnds Oct 31, 202633%—Polymarket35.5¢$646¢Thin
New Mexico Senate Election: Turnout750K-800KPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202643%—Polymarket43¢$641¢Thin
Israel Election: RZP-Zehut # of seats?6-7PoliticsEnds Nov 30, 202639%—Polymarket46¢$6415¢Thin
Louisiana Senate General Election: voter turnoutAbove 1.49MPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202723%—Kalshi26¢$647¢Thin
Modi out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 30, 20266%—Polymarket6.7¢$642¢Thin
Tongatapu 2 By-Election WinnerAlvin Lafu SikaPoliticsEnds Oct 8, 202613%—Polymarket13¢$641¢Thin
Texas Senate election: James Talarico vote percentAt least 56%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 20276%—Kalshi6¢$64—Thin
UT-01 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 20-25%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202621%—Polymarket23¢$634¢Thin
AL-01 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 30-35%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202624%—Polymarket24¢$631¢Thin
IA-04 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 20-25%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202620%—Polymarket20¢$631¢Thin
Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election WinnerPLPoliticsEnds Oct 3, 202661%—Polymarket62¢$633¢Thin
Tainan Mayor Election WinnerChen Ting-feiPoliticsEnds Jun 30, 202791%—Polymarket92¢$633¢Thin
Idaho Governor Election WinnerBrad Little (R)Politics98%—Polymarket98.1¢$631¢Thin
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202688%—Polymarket90.9¢$637¢Thin
IN-03 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 20-25%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202632%—Polymarket33¢$623¢Thin
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?VAT federal decreePoliticsEnds Nov 28, 202665%—Polymarket72¢$6215¢Thin
WA-05 House winner?Michael BaumgartnerPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202783%—Kalshi83¢$621¢Thin
Illinois Governor Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 25-30%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202619%—Polymarket21¢$624¢Thin
NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)?Increase 0.01-0.99%PoliticsEnds May 31, 202842%—Kalshi44¢$625¢Thin
Quebec General Election: PQ # Seats?<50PoliticsEnds Oct 5, 202639%—Polymarket45¢$6213¢Thin
Which countries will Trump make formal trade deals with in 2026?ChinaPoliticsEnds Jan 1, 202713%—Kalshi16¢$627¢Thin
Nevada's 4th District margin of victoryHorsford, 16+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202748%—Kalshi52¢$629¢Thin
New York's 13th District margin of victoryChevalier, 70+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202753%—Kalshi56¢$617¢Thin
Minnesota Senate General Election: voter turnoutAbove 3.20MPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202714%—Kalshi16¢$614¢Thin
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 2026>99%—Polymarket99.7¢$610.1¢Thin
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20261%—Polymarket0.6¢$610.1¢Thin
Tuva Gubernatorial Election WinnerVladislav KhovalygPoliticsEnds Sep 20, 202698%—Polymarket98.9¢$613¢Thin
KY-01 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 40-45%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202628%—Polymarket30¢$613¢Thin
NY-05 House Election WinnerGregory Meeks (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202697%—Polymarket97.3¢$610.8¢Thin
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202616%—Polymarket16¢$601¢Thin
Will Trump end the Federal Reserve?PoliticsEnds Jan 20, 20296%—Kalshi7.2¢$603¢
Will Trump visit North Korea by...?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202611%—Polymarket10.7¢$600.1¢Thin
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 10%?PoliticsEnds Sep 20, 20265%—Polymarket8.9¢$608¢Thin
Georgia Governor Election Margin of Victory (First Round)Bottoms 0-3%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202623%—Polymarket23¢$601¢Thin
Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd PlaceOne NationPoliticsEnds Nov 28, 202656%—Polymarket71¢$6031¢Thin
CO-05 House election: Matt Cavanaugh vote percentAt least 4%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 20276%—Kalshi6¢$601¢Thin
Oregon Senate General Election: voter turnoutAbove 2.20MPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202713%—Kalshi16¢$606¢Thin
Trnava Mayoral Election WinnerBranislav BarošPoliticsEnds Oct 24, 202645%—Polymarket45¢$601¢Thin
MS-02 House winner?Bennie ThompsonPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202793%—Kalshi95¢$604¢Thin
OH-01 House Election WinnerGreg Landsman (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202687%—Polymarket87.1¢$601¢Thin
California Recall Election Reform PropositionPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202656%—Polymarket78¢$6045¢Thin
FDA moves BPC-157 to Category 1 by…?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202661%—Polymarket90¢$6059¢Thin
VT-AL House Election WinnerBecca Balint (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202697%—Polymarket98.1¢$603¢Thin
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