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Politics

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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsEnds Dec 30, 202618%0¢Polymarket18¢$3.7K
Sweden Parliamentary Election: 5th PlaceCentre Party (C)PoliticsEnds Sep 12, 2026>99%—Polymarket99.8¢$3.7K
When will FISA be reauthorized again?Before Oct 1, 2026PoliticsEnds Jul 15, 20261%−1¢Kalshi1¢$3.6K
Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)December 31PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202622%+1¢Polymarket22¢$3.6K
Brazil presidential election: first round winner?Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202775%0¢Kalshi75¢$3.6K
Sweden Parliamentary Election: Vote Share Margin of VictoryS 7-10%PoliticsEnds Sep 12, 2026>99%——$3.6K
Massachusetts Governor winner?Maura HealeyPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202795%—Kalshi96¢$3.6K
How high will inflation get in 2026?Above 5%PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20269%−1¢Polymarket9¢$3.6K
Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202733%+3¢Kalshi33¢$3.5K
Which bills will become law in 2026?College sports federalizationPoliticsEnds Jul 14, 202646%+2¢Kalshi47¢$3.5K
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?4.25%PoliticsEnds Dec 8, 202648%+14¢Polymarket56.3¢$3.5K
Maine Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)700K-750KPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202639%—Polymarket39¢$3.5K
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202614%−7¢Polymarket14¢$3.4K
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election WinnerSagal Abdi-WaliPoliticsEnds Jun 30, 202779%—Polymarket79¢$3.4K
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026Sudan's Emergency Response RoomsPoliticsEnds Oct 9, 20269%—Polymarket9¢$3.4K
NM-03 House Election WinnerTeresa Leger Fernández (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202694%+1¢Polymarket94¢$3.3K
Florida Senate winner?Ashley MoodyPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202791%—Kalshi91¢$3.2K
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20268%+1¢Polymarket8¢$3.2K
CO-08 House winner?Manny RutinelPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202782%+7¢Kalshi85¢$3.1K
Texas Senate margin of victoryJames Talarico, 5+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202721%+1¢Kalshi21¢$3K
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?No Meeting by September 30PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202693%+1¢Polymarket93.6¢$3K
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?Above 58PoliticsEnds Jan 1, 20278%0¢Kalshi8¢$3K
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?Kamala HarrisPoliticsEnds Jan 1, 202871%+7¢Kalshi71¢$3K
NY-09 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 55-60%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202642%—Polymarket46¢$3K
OR-06 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 15-20%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202646%—Polymarket64¢$3K
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?December 31, 2026PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202638%+1¢Polymarket38¢$3K
NH-01 House Election WinnerStefany Shaheen (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202691%—Polymarket90.9¢$2.9K
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?David LisnardPoliticsEnds Apr 29, 202711%0¢Polymarket11.9¢$2.9K
Sweden Parliamentary Election: C Vote Share?7-9%PoliticsEnds Sep 12, 202699%—Polymarket99.7¢$2.9K
Kash Patel out as FBI Director?Before Nov 1, 2026PoliticsEnds Jul 31, 20265%−2¢Kalshi5¢$2.9K
Will new tariffs become law?Before Jan 1, 2027PoliticsEnds Sep 1, 202699%+8¢Kalshi99¢$2.9K
Michigan Governor winner?Jocelyn BensonPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202791%—Kalshi92.7¢$2.9K
Maine Senate winner? (Person)Troy JacksonPoliticsEnds Jul 7, 202766%0¢Kalshi66¢$2.8K
Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)PoliticsEnds Jan 31, 202792%+6¢Polymarket93¢$2.8K
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Sep 2026?Kevin WarshPoliticsEnds Sep 9, 202679%+53¢Kalshi80¢$2.6K
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?October 31PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20269%0¢Polymarket9¢$2.6K
Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?No Next Chancellor before 2028PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202954%—Polymarket54¢$2.6K
South Carolina Senate winner?Darline GrahamPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202787%0¢Kalshi87¢$2.6K
Guerrero Governor Election WinnerBeatriz Mojica MorgaPoliticsEnds Jun 6, 202781%—Polymarket81.7¢$2.6K
When will Trump’s next Press Secretary be announced?Before Oct 1, 2026PoliticsEnds Aug 13, 202624%+7¢Kalshi25¢$2.6K
OH-13 House Election WinnerEmilia Sykes (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202696%—Polymarket97.3¢$2.5K
Iran leadership change by...?December 31PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202614%0¢Polymarket15¢$2.5K
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsEnds Jan 2, 20278%−6¢Polymarket8¢$2.4K
Fed Decision in January?No changePoliticsEnds Jan 27, 202757%—Polymarket58¢$2.4K
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City before October?PoliticsEnds Oct 1, 202698%+3¢Kalshi98¢$2.4K
Berlin 2026 Election: How Large Will the Abgeordnetenhaus Be?163+PoliticsEnds Sep 20, 202644%—Polymarket62¢$2.3K
Iowa Governor winner?Rob SandPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202779%0¢Kalshi79¢$2.2K
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?December 31PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20266%0¢Polymarket6¢$2.2K
How many bills will President Trump sign in Sep 2026?10PoliticsEnds Oct 1, 202639%—Kalshi75¢$2.2K
Iowa Senate Election WinnerAshley Hinson (R)Politics57%—Polymarket58¢$2.2K
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