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Politics

6,652 events across Kalshi and Polymarket, most traded first.

KalshiPolymarketOn both venues
MarketChance24hBest priceVol 24hSpread
Iowa Senate winner? (Person)Ashley HinsonPoliticsEnds Jul 27, 202662%—Kalshi63¢$352¢Thin
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in AlagoasLulaPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202698%—Polymarket98¢$351¢Thin
Pará Senate Election: 1st PlaceHelderPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202680%—Polymarket80¢$351¢Thin
NY-12 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 65-70%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202617%—Polymarket19¢$354¢Thin
Florida's 27th District margin of victorySalazar, 3+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202761%—Kalshi65¢$359¢Thin
GA-12 House winner?Rick AllenPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202792%—Kalshi94.2¢$354¢Thin
Amazonas Senate Election: 2nd PlaceCapitão Alberto NetoPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202658%—Polymarket61¢$356¢Thin
Oyo, Nigeria Governor Election WinnerAbimbola AdekanmbiPoliticsEnds Feb 6, 202757%—Polymarket58¢$341¢Thin
AZ-06 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 0-3%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202620%—Polymarket22¢$344¢Thin
Sweden Parliamentary Election: KD Over/Under 6%?PoliticsEnds Sep 12, 202697%——$34—Thin
Nevada's 4th District margin of victoryHorsford, 25+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202713%—Kalshi17¢$348¢Thin
Alagoas Senate Election: 2nd PlaceArthur LiraPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202642%—Polymarket44¢$345¢Thin
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Caspian Sea by...?September 30PoliticsEnds Aug 31, 20261%—Polymarket1.1¢$340.1¢Thin
Tver Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerUnited RussiaPoliticsEnds Sep 20, 202692%—Polymarket96.1¢$348¢Thin
Mato Grosso do Sul Senate Election: 1st PlaceReinaldo AzambujaPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202688%—Polymarket88¢$331¢Thin
Kansas's 2nd District margin of victorySchmidt, 22+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202717%—Kalshi20¢$336¢Thin
PA-17 House winner?Chris DeluzioPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202796%—Kalshi98.1¢$334¢Thin
Will Trump cut corporate taxes this year?PoliticsEnds Jan 1, 20275%—Kalshi6.2¢$333¢Thin
NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?35-39PoliticsEnds Nov 6, 202635%—Polymarket35¢$331¢Thin
Will Netanyahu be arrested?Before Oct 1, 2026PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20262%—Kalshi2¢$33—Thin
Will Trump's impeachments be expunged?Before Oct 1, 2026PoliticsEnds Aug 1, 20263%—Kalshi4¢$333¢Thin
AZ-02 House Election WinnerEli Crane (R)PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202669%—Polymarket69¢$321¢Thin
Argentina presidential election winner?Javier MileiPoliticsEnds Oct 30, 202859%—Kalshi60¢$323¢Thin
California Governor margin of victoryDemocrats, 12+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202772%—Kalshi76¢$329¢Thin
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?PoliticsEnds Oct 26, 202694%—Polymarket94¢$321¢Thin
Next Mayor of OstravaRichard VerešPoliticsEnds Jun 30, 202764%—Polymarket64¢$321¢Thin
TX-21 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 15-20%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202613%—Polymarket15¢$324¢Thin
Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?LebanonPoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202613%—Kalshi15¢$324¢Thin
South Dakota Governor election: Larry Rhoden vote percentAt least 64%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202727%—Kalshi30¢$326¢Thin
WV-01 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 35-40%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202623%—Polymarket23¢$321¢Thin
Pennsylvania State Senate winner?Republican partyPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202761%—Kalshi65¢$319¢Thin
Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela?Before Oct 1, 2026PoliticsEnds Aug 1, 20269%—Kalshi11¢$315¢Thin
Massachusetts Senate Election WinnerEd Markey (D)Politics98%—Polymarket98.1¢$310.6¢Thin
FL-02 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 10-15%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202641%—Polymarket41¢$311¢Thin
Ceará Senate Election: 2nd PlaceLuiziannePoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202639%—Polymarket49¢$3120¢Thin
Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race in 2026?PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202732%—Kalshi35¢$316¢Thin
Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by...?PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20264%—Polymarket5.9¢$303¢Thin
Next Mayor of OlomoucMiroslava FerancováPoliticsEnds Jun 30, 202773%—Polymarket73¢$301¢Thin
Will Russia capture Stavky by...?PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20263%—Polymarket3.2¢$301¢Thin
KY-06 House winner?Ralph AlvaradoPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202775%—Kalshi77¢$304¢Thin
CO-03 House election: Dwayne Romero vote percentAt least 50%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202723%—Kalshi27¢$309¢Thin
OH-01 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 9-12%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202624%—Polymarket25¢$302¢Thin
2026 Dallas County Judge Election WinnerClay JenkinsPolitics98%—Polymarket97.7¢$300.1¢Thin
Tlaxcala Governor Election WinnerAna Lilia Rivera RiveraPoliticsEnds Jun 6, 202751%—Polymarket59.9¢$3018¢Thin
Iowa Senate Election Margin of VictoryHinson 0-3%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202625%—Polymarket25¢$301¢Thin
NC-09 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 0-3%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202627%—Polymarket27¢$301¢Thin
Kentucky's 4th District margin of victoryGallrein, 30+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202746%—Kalshi50¢$309¢Thin
South Carolina's 6th District margin of victoryClyburn, 40+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202719%—Kalshi22¢$306¢Thin
TX-02 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 0-5%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202620%—Polymarket21¢$303¢Thin
Clarence Mayoral Election WinnerBrendan BlomeleyPoliticsEnds Oct 27, 202657%—Polymarket58¢$301¢Thin
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