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393 events

KalshiPolymarketOn both venues
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Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?ByteDanceTech & ScienceEnds Jun 30, 202717%—Polymarket17¢$30
Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?Above 8kTech & ScienceEnds Jan 1, 202799%—Kalshi99¢$30
Top Coding AI this month (DeepSWE)ChatGPTTech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202660%—Kalshi73¢$30
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?MoonshotTech & ScienceEnds Oct 31, 202631%—Polymarket31¢$30
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?December 31, 2026Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 20266%—Polymarket6¢$29
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena scoreabove 1490Tech & ScienceEnds Jan 1, 202780%—Kalshi81¢$28
Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?Tech & ScienceEnds Jan 1, 20279%—Kalshi10¢$27
Tesla Optimus released this year?Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 30, 20265%—Kalshi5¢$26
ChatGPT Full Outage by...?Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202612%—Polymarket14¢$26
GPU rental prices (H100) end of September?$2.50-$2.75Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202648%—Polymarket49¢$26
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?ChinaTech & ScienceEnds Jan 1, 203130%—Kalshi31¢$26
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?AnthropicTech & ScienceEnds Oct 31, 202673%—Polymarket74¢$25
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?MoonshotTech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202680%—Polymarket80.5¢$23
GPU rental prices (A100) end of September?$1.00-$1.25Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202672%—Polymarket72¢$22
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?VintedTech & ScienceEnds Sep 18, 202628%—Polymarket52¢$22
Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202945%—Kalshi48.2¢$21
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202950%—Kalshi52¢$20
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?Z.aiTech & ScienceEnds Oct 31, 202636%—Polymarket36¢$20
Will the FDA approve cytisinicline for smoking cessation?Before Jan 1, 2027Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202614%—Kalshi18¢$20
Anthropic corporate adoption rate in SeptemberAbove 44%Tech & ScienceEnds Oct 16, 202652%—Kalshi54¢$19
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?AnthropicTech & ScienceEnds Oct 31, 202683%—Polymarket84¢$19
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202611%—Polymarket12¢$19
How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?<12Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202660%—Polymarket60.4¢$19
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?GoogleTech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202688%—Polymarket88¢$19
Elon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 20269%—Polymarket9¢$19
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?Tech & ScienceEnds Jan 1, 203060%—Kalshi60¢$16
ChatGPT Outage by....?Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202677%—Polymarket92.4¢$15
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?3Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202636%—Polymarket43¢$14
#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)GoogleTech & ScienceEnds Oct 31, 202635%—Polymarket35¢$13
Next Claude Haiku released by...?December 31Tech & ScienceEnds Oct 15, 202665%—Polymarket70¢$11
Top Coding AI this weekChatGPTTech & ScienceEnds Sep 21, 202690%—Kalshi93¢$11
NASA lands on the moon?Before 2029Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202626%—Kalshi29¢$10
When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?Before July 2027Tech & ScienceEnds Jun 30, 202788%—Kalshi92¢$10
Nobel Prize in Literature: 2026Margaret AtwoodTech & ScienceEnds Oct 9, 202610%—Kalshi13¢$9
GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?$7.00+Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202668%—Polymarket68¢$8
#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)GoogleTech & ScienceEnds Oct 31, 202631%—Polymarket31¢$8
Which company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of October?MiniMaxTech & ScienceEnds Oct 31, 202649%—Polymarket49¢$7
Critical Discord Incident by...?Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202611%—Polymarket14¢$5
What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?At least 2000Tech & ScienceEnds Jan 1, 202997%—Kalshi97¢$5
Will an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202682%—Kalshi85¢$4
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?December 31, 2026Tech & ScienceEnds Oct 31, 202621%—Polymarket22¢$4
How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?At least 50Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202628%—Kalshi28¢$4
Which company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of September?MiniMaxTech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202691%—Polymarket92¢$4
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?OpenAITech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202696%—Polymarket96¢$3
Will the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen?Tech & ScienceEnds Jan 1, 202711%—Kalshi15¢$3
Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute by Dec 31, 2026?Above $1.61Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202638%—Kalshi52¢$3
Which states will robotaxi be offered to in 2026?CaliforniaTech & ScienceEnds Jul 22, 202610%—Kalshi13¢$3
Will Meta release Llama 5 this year?Tech & ScienceEnds Jan 1, 20278%—Kalshi10¢$3
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?Tech & ScienceEnds Jan 1, 202854%—Kalshi56¢$3
When will the FDA approve Compass Pathways' COMP360 Psilocybin?Before Jan 1, 2027Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202636%—Kalshi39¢$3
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