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522 events

KalshiPolymarketOn both venues
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Lowest temperature in Seattle on September 18?54-55°FWeatherStarts Fri, Sep 18, 3:00 AM ET54%—Polymarket55¢$29
First snow of the 2026 seasonMinneapolis, MN by November 15WeatherEnds Nov 3, 202690%—Polymarket94¢$28
How many Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?Above 5WeatherEnds Dec 1, 20264%—Kalshi5¢$28
New pandemic in 2026?WeatherEnds Dec 31, 20266%—Polymarket6¢$25
Rain in Austin in Sep 2026?Above 1 inchWeatherEnds Sep 30, 202623%—Kalshi25¢$25
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on September 17?16°C or higherWeatherStarts Thu, Sep 17, 2:00 AM ET59%—Polymarket59¢$25
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on September 18?15°C or belowWeatherStarts Thu, Sep 17, 12:00 PM ET88%—Polymarket88¢$24
Consecutive days of average temperature in Austin above 90°F - week of Sep 14, 20266+ consecutive daysWeatherEnds Sep 20, 202615%—Kalshi15¢$21
When will Breckenridge Ski Resort open for the 26/27 winter season?Before Nov 8, 2026WeatherEnds Nov 1, 202672%—Kalshi73¢$21
Lowest temperature in Austin on September 17?69°F or belowWeatherStarts Thu, Sep 17, 1:00 AM ET82%—Polymarket82¢$16
How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?1-3WeatherEnds Dec 31, 202663%—Polymarket64¢$13
Lowest temperature in Manila on September 18?20°C or belowWeatherStarts Thu, Sep 17, 12:00 PM ET89%—Polymarket89¢$13
Will a supervolcano erupt before 2050?WeatherEnds Dec 31, 204928%—Kalshi30.5¢$12
How many major Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?Above 5WeatherEnds Dec 1, 202632%—Kalshi34¢$12
Ebola pandemic in 2026?WeatherEnds Dec 31, 20262%—Polymarket2.3¢$11
Lowest temperature in Singapore on September 18?28°CWeatherStarts Thu, Sep 17, 12:00 PM ET40%—Polymarket40¢$11
Lowest temperature in Dallas on September 17?82-83°FWeatherStarts Thu, Sep 17, 1:00 AM ET48%—Polymarket51¢$11
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on September 18?31°C or higherWeatherStarts Thu, Sep 17, 2:30 PM ET88%—Polymarket88¢$11
Lowest temperature in Atlanta on September 18?72-73°FWeatherStarts Fri, Sep 18, 12:00 AM ET48%—Polymarket51¢$11
Lowest temperature in Panama City on September 18?30°C or higherWeatherStarts Fri, Sep 18, 1:00 AM ET60%—Polymarket60¢$9
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 18?13°CWeatherStarts Thu, Sep 17, 6:00 PM ET33%—Polymarket40¢$8
Will Hawaii reach Coral Bleaching Alert Level 1 by December 31, 2026?WeatherEnds Dec 31, 202650%—Polymarket51¢$8
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 18?25°C or higherWeatherStarts Thu, Sep 17, 12:00 PM ET77%—Polymarket77¢$8
Lowest temperature in Dallas on September 18?82-83°FWeatherStarts Fri, Sep 18, 1:00 AM ET40%—Polymarket40¢$7
Will the temperature in San Jose (SJC Airport) drop below 40°F in December 2026?WeatherEnds Jan 1, 202785%—Kalshi89¢$6
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 18?18°C or higherWeatherStarts Thu, Sep 17, 11:00 PM ET96%—Polymarket96¢$6
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 18?5°C or belowWeatherStarts Thu, Sep 17, 6:00 PM ET77%—Polymarket77¢$6
Will the TFFF reach $10 billion in 2026?WeatherEnds Jan 15, 202722%—Polymarket25¢$5
Lowest temperature in Panama City on September 17?24°CWeatherStarts Thu, Sep 17, 1:00 AM ET92%—Polymarket92¢$5
Lowest temperature in Houston on September 17?73°F or belowWeatherStarts Thu, Sep 17, 1:00 AM ET92%—Polymarket92¢$5
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 18?20°C or belowWeatherStarts Thu, Sep 17, 12:00 PM ET89%—Polymarket89¢$5
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?WeatherEnds Dec 31, 20266%—Polymarket6¢$5
Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?RwandaWeatherEnds Dec 31, 202617%—Polymarket22¢$5
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?14–16WeatherEnds Dec 31, 202652%—Polymarket54¢$4
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?OilWeatherEnds Dec 30, 203264%—Kalshi65¢$4
Lowest temperature in Atlanta on September 17?78°F or higherWeatherStarts Thu, Sep 17, 12:00 AM ET85%—Polymarket85¢$4
Lowest temperature in Karachi on September 18?22°C or belowWeatherStarts Thu, Sep 17, 3:00 PM ET54%—Polymarket54¢$3
Lowest temperature in Denver on September 17?72°F or higherWeatherStarts Thu, Sep 17, 2:00 AM ET61%—Polymarket61¢$3
EV market share in 2030?Above 10%WeatherEnds May 1, 203085%—Kalshi88¢$3
Consecutive days of average temperature in Houston above 90°F - week of Sep 14, 20265+ consecutive daysWeatherEnds Sep 20, 202615%—Kalshi15¢$2
India meets its 2030 climate goals?WeatherEnds Dec 31, 203163%—Kalshi63¢$2
EU meets its 2030 climate goals?WeatherEnds Dec 31, 203241%—Kalshi41¢$2
September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)1.40–1.44ºCWeatherEnds Oct 9, 202642%—Polymarket77¢$2
What named storms will be hurricanes in the Atlantic this year?FayWeatherEnds Aug 21, 202628%—Kalshi34¢$1
Lowest temperature in Helsinki on September 18?8°CWeatherStarts Thu, Sep 17, 5:00 PM ET38%—Polymarket38¢$1
Consecutive days of average temperature in New Orleans above 90°F - week of Sep 14, 20266+ consecutive daysWeatherEnds Sep 20, 20268%—Kalshi8¢$0
Number of tornadoes in Sep 2026?Above 100WeatherEnds Sep 30, 202614%—Kalshi20¢$0
Consecutive days of average temperature in Oklahoma City above 90°F - week of Sep 14, 20266+ consecutive daysWeatherEnds Sep 20, 20268%—Kalshi8¢$0
What named storms will be hurricanes in the Central Pacific this year?OlanaWeatherEnds Aug 21, 202667%—Kalshi79¢$0
Precipitation in Hong Kong in September?<275mmWeatherEnds Sep 30, 202686%—Polymarket86¢$0
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