What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 18, 2026?
The market resolves based on the magnitude of the biggest earthquake that occurs on September 18, 2026.
- Leading
- Magnitude of at least 5.274%
- Trades on
Kalshi- Vol 24h
- $712Thin
- Spread
- 7¢round trip on Magnitude of at least 5.2
- Ends
- Sep 18, 2026
Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Vol 24h | Spread | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magnitude of at least 5.2 | 74% | — | $203 | 7¢Thin | 77¢ | |
| Magnitude of at least 6.4 | 10% | — | $114 | 2¢Thin | 11¢ | |
| Magnitude of at least 6.8 | 6% | — | $110 | 2¢Thin | 7¢ | |
| Magnitude of at least 7.0 | 4% | — | $110 | 1¢Thin | 4¢ | |
| Magnitude of at least 6.6 | 8% | — | $103 | 1¢Thin | 8¢ | |
| Magnitude of at least 5.6 | 46% | — | $49 | 1¢Thin | 46¢ | |
| Magnitude of at least 5.8 | 34% | — | $13 | 1¢Thin | 34¢ | |
| Magnitude of at least 6.0 | 23% | — | $4 | 1¢Thin | 23¢ | |
| Magnitude of at least 6.2 | 12% | — | $3 | 3¢Thin | 13¢ | |
| Magnitude of at least 5.4 | 57% | — | $2 | 10¢Thin | 62¢ |
More like this
Open markets about the same teams, people and subjects. Similar, not proven linked.
Discussion
Posts and calls about this event