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Texas Senate: which counties will James Talarico win?CollinPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202755%—Kalshi93¢$325
Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202631%—Kalshi33¢$325
MAGA Inc. 2026 total disbursements?Above 75 million dollarsPoliticsEnds Jan 31, 202790%—Kalshi95¢$324
KY-02 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 35-40%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202632%—Polymarket32¢$321
Brazil presidential election: 4th place (1st round)Renan SantosPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202742%—Kalshi44¢$321
VA-09 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 30-35%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202632%—Polymarket32¢$320
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?September 30PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20268%—Polymarket8¢$319
OK-03 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 40-45%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202633%—Polymarket33¢$318
2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout?115 to 119.99 millionPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202723%—Kalshi23¢$318
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?PoliticsEnds Sep 20, 202685%—Polymarket86¢$317
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?September 30PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20261%—Polymarket1.1¢$317
Berlin State Election: 3rd PlaceAfDPoliticsEnds Sep 20, 202656%—Polymarket57¢$315
Michigan Senate: which counties will Abdul El-Sayed win?Grand TraversePoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202748%—Kalshi93¢$314
Piura Mayoral Election WinnerMiguel Gerardo Cueva CeliPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202631%—Polymarket32¢$311
Abbotsford-Mission By-Election WinnerKerry-Lynne FindlayPoliticsEnds Sep 26, 202665%—Polymarket71¢$310
Richmond, BC mayoral election winner?Kash HeedPoliticsEnds Oct 17, 202740%—Kalshi43¢$309
Will Trump recognize Taiwan?Before 2027PoliticsEnds Jan 1, 20272%—Kalshi3¢$309
FL-24 House Election WinnerOliver Gilbert (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202696%—Polymarket96.3¢$308
NJ-01 House election: Damon Galdo vote percentAt least 32%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202784%—Kalshi88¢$308
São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd PlaceAndré do PradoPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202638%—Polymarket39.8¢$306
MS-04 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)Republican 40-45%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202625%—Polymarket25¢$306
OH-13 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 15-20%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202623%—Polymarket42¢$306
When will Trump rename something else?Before Nov 1, 2026PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202632%—Kalshi35¢$304
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 2nd PlaceSPDPoliticsEnds Sep 19, 202676%—Polymarket77¢$304
Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?Josh HawleyPoliticsEnds Dec 30, 202630%—Polymarket33¢$304
Surrey mayoral election winner?Brenda LockePoliticsEnds Oct 17, 202760%—Kalshi62¢$301
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20264%—Polymarket4.6¢$300
Quebec General Election WinnerPQPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202684%—Polymarket85¢$299
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Vote Share?<8%PoliticsEnds Sep 20, 202683%—Polymarket83¢$299
What countries will Trump visit in 2026?IsraelPoliticsEnds Jan 1, 202719%—Kalshi20¢$297
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 20264%—Polymarket4.1¢$295
VA-02 House Election WinnerElaine Luria (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202682%—Polymarket82¢$293
VT-AL House Election WinnerBecca Balint (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202697%—Polymarket98.1¢$290
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by September 25?280MPoliticsEnds Oct 7, 202614%—Polymarket14.6¢$290
Which countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?Saudi ArabiaPoliticsEnds Aug 17, 20266%—Kalshi7.9¢$289
VT-AL House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 35-40%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202641%—Polymarket43¢$287
Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election WinnerGuillaume RousseauPoliticsEnds Oct 5, 202662%—Polymarket64¢$286
GA-02 House Election WinnerSanford Bishop (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202694%—Polymarket94¢$286
Sweden Parliamentary Election: SD Vote Share?16-18%PoliticsEnds Sep 12, 2026100%—Polymarket99.7¢$285
CA-11 House winner?Scott WienerPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202766%—Kalshi67¢$285
Nevada Governor winner?Joe LombardoPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202756%—Kalshi56¢$284
North Carolina Senate margin of victoryCooper, 15+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 20278%—Kalshi10¢$282
Oregon Senate winner?Jeff MerkleyPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202799%—Kalshi99.8¢$282
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by...?December 31PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202638%—Polymarket38¢$282
TX-35 House winner?Johnny C. GarciaPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202756%—Kalshi56¢$281
Which Senate races will be within 5%?MontanaPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202611%—Polymarket11.9¢$281
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Ohio?6PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202640%—Polymarket41¢$280
When will Lance Schroyer be confirmed as ICE director?Before Jan 1, 2027PoliticsEnds Jul 31, 202628%—Kalshi31¢$280
Alaska Governor winner? (Person)Jonathan Kreiss-TomkinsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202769%—Kalshi70¢$279
Switzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass?PoliticsEnds Sep 26, 20263%—Polymarket4.4¢$279
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