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Politics

6,638 events across Kalshi and Polymarket, most traded first.

KalshiPolymarketOn both venues
MarketChance24hBest priceVol 24hSpread
NY-21 House election: Blake Gendebien vote percentAt least 44%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202748%—Kalshi85¢$16275¢Thin
Mississippi Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)800K-900KPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202645%—Polymarket47¢$1624¢Thin
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202642%—Polymarket44¢$1624¢Thin
Russia nuclear test by...?September 30, 2026PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20261%—Polymarket1.4¢$1620.6¢Thin
OH-12 House winner?Troy BaldersonPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202793%—Kalshi96.5¢$1616¢Thin
New Mexico Governor margin of victoryHaaland, 10+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202760%—Kalshi61¢$1603¢Thin
Andrew Tate released from custody by...?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20269%—Polymarket9¢$1591¢Thin
Poprad Mayoral Election WinnerAnton DankoPoliticsEnds Oct 24, 202682%—Polymarket83¢$1593¢Thin
Will the federal gas tax be suspended?PoliticsEnds Jan 1, 202712%—Kalshi13¢$1583¢
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?Shutdown & Democratic PartyPoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202687%—Polymarket88.4¢$1583¢Thin
Illinois Governor winner?JB PritzkerPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202795%—Kalshi95.5¢$1580.9¢
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20262%—Polymarket2.5¢$1580.3¢Thin
Which companies will the US take a stake in?IonQPoliticsEnds Dec 30, 202614%—Polymarket16¢$1573¢Thin
Georgia Lieutenant Governor Election WinnerGreg Dolezal (R)PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202656%—Polymarket57¢$1572¢Thin
China coup attempt before 2027?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20265%—Polymarket5¢$1561¢Thin
NM-01 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 20-25%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202630%—Polymarket31¢$1553¢Thin
Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election?Flavio BolsonaroPoliticsEnds Oct 3, 202897%—Kalshi98¢$1552¢Thin
Arequipa Mayoral Election WinnerManuel Enrique Vera ParedesPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202647%—Polymarket59¢$15524¢Thin
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20264%—Polymarket4.4¢$1551¢Thin
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202610%—Polymarket10.1¢$1550.1¢Thin
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?September 30PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20261%—Polymarket1.7¢$1550.6¢Thin
Montana Senate Election: Turnout450K-500KPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202645%—Polymarket54.8¢$15419¢Thin
Next Bosniak President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Denis BećirovićPoliticsEnds Oct 3, 202666%—Polymarket67¢$1543¢Thin
UT-04 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 35-40%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202626%—Polymarket26.8¢$1542¢Thin
Vancouver mayoral election winner?Ken SimPoliticsEnds Oct 17, 202754%—Kalshi57¢$1516¢Thin
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by...?PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20263%—Polymarket3¢$1501¢Thin
When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?Before Oct 1, 2026PoliticsEnds Aug 1, 20262%—Kalshi2¢$150—Thin
NY-04 House Election WinnerLaura Gillen (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202691%—Polymarket92¢$1492¢Thin
LA-05 Democratic nominee?Dan McKayPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202714%—Kalshi16¢$1494¢Thin
NJ-08 House Election WinnerRob Menendez (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202695%—Polymarket96¢$1482¢Thin
Milton, ON Mayoral Election WinnerGord KrantzPoliticsEnds Oct 25, 202648%—Polymarket50¢$1485¢Thin
Oregon Governor Election WinnerTina Kotek (D)Politics86%—Polymarket87¢$1482¢Thin
Kansas Senate Election: Turnout1.1M-1.2MPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202650%—Polymarket56¢$14813¢Thin
Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20264%—Polymarket7.5¢$1477¢Thin
Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)290K-305KPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202646%—Polymarket47¢$1472¢Thin
Will Kash Patel visit Russia before November?PoliticsEnds Nov 1, 202616%—Kalshi19¢$1476¢Thin
Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?Before Jan 1, 2027PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20264%—Kalshi4.9¢$1462¢
North Korea x South Korea diplomatic meeting by...? (direct or indirect)PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202664%—Polymarket81¢$14634¢Thin
Arkansas Senate Election: Turnout825K-900KPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202645%—Polymarket49¢$1448¢Thin
Israel Election: The Democrats vote share?7-8%PoliticsEnds Nov 30, 202650%—Polymarket66¢$14433¢Thin
Will the House pass additional defense funding?Before Oct 1, 2026PoliticsEnds Jul 24, 20263%—Kalshi3¢$142—Thin
Will the House vote on a resolution to expel Cory Mills?Before Nov 3, 2026PoliticsEnds Aug 1, 202611%—Kalshi14¢$1416¢Thin
TX-28 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 6-9%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202620%—Polymarket21¢$1412¢Thin
AZ-06 House winner?JoAnna MendozaPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202781%—Kalshi82¢$1412¢Thin
FL-13 House Election WinnerAnna Paulina Luna (R)PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202674%—Polymarket74¢$1401¢Thin
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202616%—Polymarket17¢$1402¢Thin
MO-07 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 35-40%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202634%—Polymarket34¢$1401¢Thin
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20266%—Polymarket6¢$1401¢Thin
Ohio Senate Election: Turnout4.35M-4.5MPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202639%—Polymarket40¢$1402¢Thin
Will Trump impose martial law before his term ends?PoliticsEnds Jan 20, 202935%—Kalshi36¢$1403¢Thin
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