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Politics

6,661 events

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Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?PoliticsEnds Jan 19, 202969%—Polymarket70¢$223
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by...?October 31PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202629%—Polymarket30¢$223
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of Xi summit?PoliticsEnds Oct 7, 20265%—Polymarket8.5¢$223
Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20267%—Polymarket8¢$223
São Paulo Governor Election WinnerTarcísio de FreitasPoliticsEnds Oct 3, 202698%—Polymarket98.5¢$221
TX-26 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 15-20%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202641%—Polymarket46.6¢$219
Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?BelgiumPoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202614%—Polymarket17¢$218
OK-02 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 45-50%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202628%—Polymarket29¢$218
Will Iran target Jordan by...?September 30PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202643%—Polymarket48¢$218
Texas Governor Election WinnerGreg Abbott (R)Politics83%—Polymarket84.2¢$218
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30?10+PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202638%—Polymarket50¢$217
When will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy?Before Dec 19, 2026PoliticsEnds Sep 24, 202641%—Kalshi46¢$216
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?December 31PoliticsEnds Oct 31, 20267%—Polymarket7¢$214
Will Russia capture Serhiivka by...?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202628%—Polymarket29¢$214
Next Mayor of Mangaung (Bloemfontein)?Werner PretoriusPoliticsEnds Nov 4, 202644%—Polymarket45¢$213
Oregon Governor Election Margin of VictoryKotek 9-12%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202619%—Polymarket20¢$212
LA-01 Democratic nominee?Lauren JewettPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 20279%—Kalshi12¢$212
LA-01 Republican nominee?Steve ScalisePoliticsEnds Nov 3, 20279%—Kalshi9.7¢$211
Zacatecas Governor Election WinnerVerónica Díaz RoblesPoliticsEnds Jun 6, 202768%—Polymarket69¢$211
Will Iran target Oman by...?September 30PoliticsEnds Sep 15, 20263%—Polymarket4.5¢$210
Who will announce a California departure in 2026?Mark ZuckerbergPoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202630%—Kalshi32¢$208
MO-02 House winner?Republican partyPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202772%—Kalshi72¢$208
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202632%—Polymarket45.3¢$208
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by...?PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202616%—Polymarket16¢$206
Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election WinnerFrançoise Faverjon-FortinPoliticsEnds Oct 5, 202638%—Polymarket43¢$205
Mississippi Senate winner?Cindy Hyde-SmithPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202793%—Kalshi93.6¢$205
Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil?Flávio BolsonaroPoliticsEnds Oct 25, 202670%—Polymarket71¢$204
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran?Before 2027PoliticsEnds Sep 1, 20263%—Kalshi3.8¢$204
South Dakota Senate winner?Mike RoundsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202793%—Kalshi93.5¢$200
Swedish Parliamentary Election: 3rd PlaceSweden DemocratsPoliticsEnds Sep 13, 202796%——$200
IL-11 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 20-25%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202626%—Polymarket26¢$200
South Carolina Senate margin of victoryGraham, 9+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202737%—Kalshi39¢$200
OH-07 House winner?Brian PoindexterPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202778%—Kalshi78¢$200
South Dakota Senate Election WinnerMike Rounds (R)Politics95%—Polymarket95.2¢$200
Will the TX-23 special election be scheduled to a date before the midterms?PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 20267%—Kalshi11¢$199
NV-04 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 10-15%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202630%—Polymarket30¢$199
NJ-03 House winner?Herb ConawayPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202796%—Kalshi97.9¢$198
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?September 30PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20265%—Polymarket5¢$198
Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?No EndorsementPoliticsEnds Oct 27, 202672%—Polymarket72¢$198
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?October 31PoliticsEnds Sep 29, 202623%—Polymarket24¢$198
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional)Above 223PoliticsEnds Feb 1, 202780%—Kalshi90¢$197
When will the FY2027 NDAA become law?Before Dec 1, 2026PoliticsEnds Oct 1, 202616%—Kalshi19¢$197
CA-13 House Election WinnerAdam Gray (D)PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202693%—Polymarket93¢$196
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?Howard LutnickPoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202625%—Polymarket26¢$195
NY-21 House winner?Anthony ConstantinoPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202776%—Kalshi76¢$195
New York Governor Election: Turnout6M-6.5MPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202648%—Polymarket50¢$194
Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 2nd PlaceSandersonPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202641%—Polymarket47.5¢$193
Washington's 3rd District margin of victoryPerez, 10+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202736%—Kalshi39¢$193
Oryol Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerUnited RussiaPoliticsEnds Sep 20, 202697%—Polymarket99.4¢$193
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202610%—Polymarket10¢$192
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