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Politics

6,648 events across Kalshi and Polymarket, most traded first.

KalshiPolymarketOn both venues
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Will the 2028 presidential election occur?PoliticsEnds Nov 30, 202892%—Kalshi92.8¢$02¢
Tlaxcala Governor winner?Ana Lilia Rivera RiveraPoliticsEnds Jun 6, 202841%—Kalshi45¢$08¢Thin
Which party will win the Wisconsin State Senate in 2026?Democratic PartyPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202686%—Polymarket86¢$01¢Thin
Idaho Governor election: Brad Little vote percentAt least 70%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 20275%—Kalshi7¢$04¢Thin
Next DCCC chair?Jason CrowPoliticsEnds Mar 9, 20275%—Kalshi5.2¢$0—Thin
California Insurance Commissioner winner?Ben AllenPoliticsEnds Nov 4, 202784%—Kalshi88¢$08¢Thin
Oregon Governor margin of victoryKotek, 5+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202758%—Kalshi61¢$06¢Thin
Pennsylvania Governor election: Josh Shapiro vote percentAt least 52%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202797%—Kalshi99¢$04¢Thin
Brazilian presidential election: Ronaldo Caiado vote percent (1st Round)At least 3%PoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202765%—Kalshi66¢$03¢Thin
CO-04 House election: Douglas Mangeris vote percentAt least 6%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202755%—Kalshi98¢$086¢Thin
When will the FY2027 NDAA become law?Before Feb 1, 2027PoliticsEnds Oct 1, 202688%—Kalshi90¢$05¢Thin
How much will ACA Marketplace enrollment decline in 2027?Above 15%PoliticsEnds Jul 1, 202761%—Kalshi65¢$08¢Thin
Closest House race in 2026?CO-03PoliticsEnds Jan 2, 20274%—Kalshi6.4¢—5¢Thin
Who will be the next DNC Chair?David HoggPoliticsEnds Jan 8, 204517%—Kalshi21¢—8¢Thin
Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?IllinoisPoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202695%—Polymarket99.8¢—10¢Thin
Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?Nigel FaragePoliticsEnds Jan 8, 203527%—Kalshi31¢—9¢Thin
Who will be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?John HealeyPoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202715%—Kalshi19¢—8¢Thin
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd PlaceLikudPoliticsEnds Oct 27, 202742%—Kalshi46¢—8¢Thin
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 3rd PlaceTogetherPoliticsEnds Oct 27, 202751%—Kalshi55¢—8¢Thin
2028 popular vote margin of victory?Democratic by 9.0% or morePoliticsEnds May 6, 202921%—Kalshi22¢—2¢Thin
Next government of the United Kingdom?Labour majorityPoliticsEnds Jan 1, 203013%—Kalshi16¢—7¢Thin
LA-05 House election: Dan McKay vote percent (1st Round)At least 2%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202797%—Kalshi99¢—5¢Thin
MO-05 House election: Emanuel Cleaver vote percentAt least 38%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202797%—Kalshi99¢—4¢Thin
Navajo Nation presidential election winner?Justin JonesPoliticsEnds Aug 13, 202659%—Kalshi62¢—6¢Thin
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Labor?Keith SonderlingPoliticsEnds Jan 20, 202995%—Kalshi97¢—5¢Thin
2028 South Carolina Democratic primary winner?Jon OssoffPoliticsEnds Nov 7, 202817%—Kalshi21¢—8¢Thin
LA-03 House election: Caleb Walker vote percent (1st Round)At least 2%PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202797%—Kalshi99¢—5¢Thin
Which ballot measures will pass in Colorado?Proposition 132PoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202779%—Kalshi85¢—13¢Thin
Wyoming Senate General Election: voter turnoutAbove 170KPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202795%—Kalshi98¢—7¢Thin
2028 Electoral College margin of victory?Democratic by 91 to 130PoliticsEnds May 6, 202915%—Kalshi17¢—4¢Thin
Democratic Senate Seat Count (2028)Above 56PoliticsEnds Feb 1, 202912%—Kalshi15¢—6¢Thin
Mississauga mayoral election winner?Bonnie CrombiePoliticsEnds Oct 26, 202756%—Kalshi60¢—9¢Thin
Next Regional Board Chair of Stockholm?Aida HadžialićPoliticsEnds Sep 13, 202697%—Polymarket99.8¢—6¢Thin
Brazil presidential election: 5th place (1st round)Ronaldo CaiadoPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202735%—Kalshi39¢—8¢Thin
French presidential election: who will advance?Marine Le PenPoliticsEnds Apr 17, 202881%—Kalshi84¢—7¢Thin
Hamilton mayoral election winner?Keanin LoomisPoliticsEnds Oct 26, 202762%—Kalshi66¢—9¢Thin
Next Senate Democratic Leader?Chuck SchumerPoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202851%—Kalshi52¢—3¢Thin
Who will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress?Jim JordanPoliticsEnds Nov 30, 202730%—Kalshi33¢—6¢Thin
Brazil Gubernatorial Elections: Most Governorships WonPPPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202750%—Kalshi99¢—98¢Thin
How many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?Between 400 and 449PoliticsEnds Jan 20, 202920%—Kalshi21¢—3¢Thin
New York City mayoral election winner?Zohran MamdaniPoliticsEnds Nov 6, 203062%—Kalshi68¢—13¢Thin
Next Regional Board Chair of Uppsala?Helena ProosPoliticsEnds Sep 13, 202697%—Polymarket98.5¢—4¢Thin
Republika Srpska presidential election winner?Savo MinicPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202765%—Kalshi69¢—8¢Thin
Vermont Governor margin of victoryRepublicans, 11+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202776%—Kalshi81¢—10¢Thin
Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel?Gadi EisenkotPoliticsEnds Jan 1, 204563%—Kalshi65¢—5¢Thin
2028 Libertarian Presidential nomineeJustin AmashPoliticsEnds Nov 7, 202828%—Kalshi30¢—5¢Thin
Alabama Senate margin of victoryMoore, 13+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202777%—Kalshi81¢—9¢Thin
Arkansas Senate margin of victoryCotton, 24+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202764%—Kalshi93.2¢—59¢Thin
Colorado Senate margin of victoryHickenlooper, 8+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202793%—Kalshi96.7¢—7¢Thin
Delaware Senate General Election: voter turnoutAbove 320KPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202792%—Kalshi95¢—6¢Thin
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