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KalshiPolymarketOn both venues
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Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?Tech & ScienceEnds Jan 1, 202854%—Kalshi56¢$3
When will the FDA approve Compass Pathways' COMP360 Psilocybin?Before Jan 1, 2027Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202637%—Kalshi40¢$3
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 20269%—Polymarket11¢$2
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?5-6Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202647%—Polymarket47¢$2
When will Beam Therapeutics submit a BLA for Risto-cel?before 2027Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 1, 202659%—Kalshi62¢$2
Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on...?September 23Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 16, 202653%—Polymarket73.9¢$2
Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 diabetes before 2033?Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 203239%—Kalshi39¢$1
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202620%—Polymarket21¢$1
ChatGPT Full Outage by...?Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202612%—Polymarket14¢$1
GitHub Git Operations critical incident by...?September 30Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202610%—Polymarket17¢$1
Will Trump make IVF free?Tech & ScienceEnds Jan 19, 202914%—Kalshi16¢$0
When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?before 2027Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 1, 202675%—Kalshi78¢$0
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?December 31, 2026Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 20262%—Polymarket2.3¢$0
Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 204920%—Kalshi21¢$0
Will the FDA approve retatrutide?Before Jan 1, 2027Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 20269%—Kalshi11¢$0
When will nuclear fusion be achieved?Before 2040Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202952%—Kalshi54¢$0
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202779%—Polymarket84¢$0
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?AnthropicTech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202694%—Polymarket94.6¢$0
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?AlibabaTech & ScienceEnds Oct 31, 202633%—Polymarket33¢$0
When will Anthropic release Opus 6?Before Sep 16, 2026Tech & ScienceEnds Aug 31, 2026———$0
Number of US data centers in 2026?At least 5,500Tech & ScienceEnds Jul 13, 202643%—Kalshi46¢$0
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?GoogleTech & ScienceEnds Oct 31, 202632%—Polymarket32¢$0
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?OpenAITech & ScienceEnds Oct 31, 202683%—Polymarket83¢$0
Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)AnthropicTech & ScienceEnds Oct 31, 202686%—Polymarket86¢$0
2026 Nobel Physics winner?Alexei KitaevTech & ScienceEnds Jan 1, 202725%—Kalshi28¢—
Third-best AI Lab end of October?MetaTech & ScienceEnds Oct 31, 202638%—Polymarket38¢—
Which company has the best Image Edit AI end of October?OpenAITech & ScienceEnds Oct 31, 202690%—Polymarket90¢—
Which company has the best Image Edit AI end of September?OpenAITech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202698%—Polymarket98.7¢—
Top Text to Image AI this weekOpenAITech & ScienceEnds Sep 18, 202694%—Kalshi98¢—
DeepSeek corporate adoption rate in SeptemberAbove 0.28%Tech & ScienceEnds Oct 16, 202681%—Kalshi85¢—
Grok 4.7 debut arena scoreAbove 1430Tech & ScienceEnds Jan 1, 202750%—Kalshi98¢—
How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?5Tech & ScienceEnds Jan 1, 202751%—Kalshi53¢—
How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?Above 3Tech & ScienceEnds Jan 1, 202789%—Kalshi91¢—
Top Text to Video AI this weekAlibabaTech & ScienceEnds Sep 18, 202688%—Kalshi92¢—
Finance AI adoption in SeptemberAbove 73%Tech & ScienceEnds Oct 16, 202692%—Kalshi96¢—
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?At least 50%Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202697%———
How many gonorrhea cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?Above 300kTech & ScienceEnds Jan 1, 202799%—Kalshi99¢—
Nobel Prize in Economics 2026Ariel PakesTech & ScienceEnds Oct 13, 202618%—Kalshi21¢—
Price of NVIDIA A100 SXM4 compute by Dec 31, 2026?Above $1.39Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202671%—Kalshi73¢—
What will Elon post this week? (September 14 - September 20)Sam / AltmanTech & ScienceEnds Sep 20, 202651%—Polymarket97¢—
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?None in 2026Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202682%—Polymarket82¢—
AI spend per employee (Top 1%) in SeptemberAbove $5500Tech & ScienceEnds Oct 16, 202695%—Kalshi98¢—
Google corporate adoption rate in SeptemberAbove 5.8%Tech & ScienceEnds Oct 16, 202691%—Kalshi95¢—
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?At least 60%Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202790%—Kalshi92¢—
How many human H5N1 cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?Above 0Tech & ScienceEnds Jan 1, 202736%—Kalshi39¢—
Anthropic corporate adoption rate in SeptemberAbove 43.5%Tech & ScienceEnds Oct 16, 202684%—Kalshi87¢—
GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ in 2026?↑ $7.50Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 30, 202689%—Polymarket90¢—
GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026?$2.50-$3.00Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202632%—Polymarket31.7¢—
Healthcare AI adoption in SeptemberAbove 43%Tech & ScienceEnds Oct 16, 202690%—Kalshi94¢—
How many mpox clade Ib cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?Above 10Tech & ScienceEnds Jan 1, 202786%—Kalshi89¢—
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